Archive for the ‘Giuliani’ Category

Oregon and Kentucky Primary Predictions: McCain, Obama, and Clinton to Win

May 19, 2008

Tomorrow, Kentucky and Oregon will hold their primaries.  Here are my predictions:

Kentucky:

Democrats:

  1. Clinton 67% 32 delegates
  2. Obama 32% 19 delegates
  3. Edwards 1% 0 delegates

Republicans:

  1. McCain 77% 42 delegates
  2. Huckabee 14% 0 delegates
  3. Paul 6% 0 delegates
  4. Romney 2% 0 delegates
  5. Giuliani <1% 0 delegates
  6. Keyes <1% 0 delegates

I have Paul as so low because it’s a closed primary and a lot of his supporters are independents.

Oregon:

Democrats:

  1. Obama 56% 29 delegates
  2. Clinton 43% 23 delegates
  3. Gravel 1% 0 delegates

Republicans:

  1. McCain 94% 28 delegates
  2. Paul 6% 2 delegates

Again, I have Paul so low because it’s a closed primary.

I may or may not have time to live blog tomorrows primaries, but I will post results some time.

Done Predicting,

Ranting Republican
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Why Pro-Lifers Should Vote for John McCain: From a Pro-Life Prospective

May 8, 2008

I’ve just gotten done with what seems like my 500th debate with a pro-lifer who claims they won’t vote for McCain.  Now, I myself am extremely pro-life (no abortions, not even under circumstances of rape, incest, or mother’s life [except tubal pregnancies where it is impossible for the baby to survive], no embryonic stem cell research, etc…).  I would NOT vote for Rudy Giuliani, and I will vote for a pro-life Democrat over a pro-choice Republican.  Being pro-life has ALWAYS been important to me, since I was a little kid, and this election is no different.

Many pro-lifers say that McCain isn’t pro-life enough enough, especially when it comes to embryonic stem cells.  I’ll give them that – I am saddened that McCain supports experiments that have so far yielded ZERO productive results, but McCain is not an advocate of ESC research, McCain is an advocate of what works, and as it is shown more and more that adult SCs are yielding results, I think he will begin to oppose ESC research.

Now, McCain’s voting record.  I have heard the argument that his voting record is not pro-life enough.  I always respond, “Other than ESC research, show me one pro-choice thing he has voted for. [Silent pause] That’s because he hasn’t.”  In the 109th Congress, McCain had a 75% voting record from the National Right to Life Committee (NRLC) and a 0% rating from the National Abortion Rights Action League (NARAL Pro-Choice America).  Meanwhile, Obama and Clinton have been rated 0% by the NRLC and 100% by NARAL.

The reason that a lot of pro-lifers are saying that they won’t vote for McCain is that “We need to turn the party around and teach Republicans a lesson that they can’t do this again.”  Well, I have a problem with that, and it’s called the Supreme Court.  The next President will nominate one Justice for sure (to replace John Paul Stevens), and most likely another (to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg).  Both of those justices are pro-choice.

If the pro-life religious right wants to teach the Republican Party a lesson, do NOT do it during a time when Roe v. Wade could be overturned.  2 pro-life Justices would change the Court from a 4-5 pro-life vote to a 6-3 pro-life vote.  If you ask me, teaching a lesson to a party should NOT be done at the expense of millions of helpless babies.

I recently heard Rocky Raczkowski (Michigan Representative who was planning on running for Senate until he got called back to serve in the Army), and he said, “If pro-life voters don’t vote for John McCain, shame on them,” and I agree.

Even if McCain appoints pro-choice judges, how is that any worse than what Clinton or Obama would do?  Why should we risk letting somebody that we KNOW for SURE will appoint pro-choice justices to the bench?  I would vote for McCain if there were only a 10% chance in him appointing somebody pro-life, over Clinton or Obama where that chance is 0.0000001% (you never know how the Justice will vote until they actually vote), but McCain himself has said he’ll appoint a pro-life person.  On other occasions, he’s said that he will appoint somebody like John Roberts or Samuel Alito, and that he would use the same people that Bush used to find Justices like that.

If you are pro-life, and you vote against John McCain / don’t vote, and Obama or Clinton (Obama will be the nominee) gets elected by a slim margin, the blood of those innocent babies will be on your conscience.

Now is not the time to send a message to the party.  Do that when millions of lives aren’t at stake.

(My apologies if any of this doesn’t make sense – I just got back from oral surgery and I’m on vicodin right now, so if something just doesn’t make any sense, leave a comment and I’ll revise it when I’m all with it.)

Done Ranting,

Ranting Republican
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Final Mississippi Primary Results: Obama & McCain Won

March 14, 2008

OK, I know they’re a little late, but I got kinda busy, so here are the official uncertified Mississippi primary results with all of the precincts reporting:

Democrats:

  1. Obama 255,809 60.80% 19 delegates
  2. Clinton 155,686 37.00% 14 delegates
  3. Edwards 3,894 0.93%
  4. Biden 1,784 0.42%
  5. Richardson 1,365 0.32%
  6. Kucinich 895 0.21%
  7. Dodd 731 0.17%
  8. Gravel 587 0.14%

And the Republicans:

  1. McCain 113,074 78.91% 36 delegates
  2. Huckabee 17,943 12.52%
  3. Paul 5,510 3.85%
  4. Romney 2,177 1.52%
  5. Thompson 2,160 1.51%
  6. Giuliani 945 0.66%
  7. Keyes 842 0.58%
  8. Hunter 414 0.29%
  9. Tancredo 221 0.15%

Now, can anybody help me understand what exactly happened in Noxubee county?  These results are correct – a friend called the county clerk and verified them, but they had no clue what went on here either:

  1. McCain 181 44.04%
  2. Thompson 47 11.44%
  3. Tancredo 40 9.73%
  4. Romney 37 9.00%
  5. Paul 34 8.27%
  6. Huckabee 24 5.84%
  7. Keyes 23 5.60%
  8. Hunter 16 3.89%
  9. Giuliani 9 2.19%

Again – those are some WEIRD results – the only county in Mississippi that McCain didn’t at least get 70% in.  If we have a resident of Noxubee, I would LOVE your input!

Done Reporting/Counting,

Ranting Republican
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Final Texas Republican Primary Results: McCain Won

March 5, 2008

Here are the official uncertified results for the Texas Republican primary, with all precincts reporting:

  1. McCain 707,622 51.24% 80 delegates
  2. Huckabee 521,950 37.79% 16 delegates
  3. Paul 69,824 5.05%
  4. Romney 27,579 1.99%
  5. Uncommitted 17,611 1.27%
  6. Thompson 11,786 0.85%
  7. Keyes 8,571 0.62%
  8. Hunter 8,254 0.59%
  9. Giuliani 6,169 0.44%
  10. Cort, Hugh 918 0.06%
  11. Tran, Hoa 623 0.04%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Limbaugh Tells Texas & Ohio Republicans to Vote for Clinton

March 1, 2008

During a recent broadcast of his radio show, Rush Limbaugh the Great responded to an article in a Texas newspaper with the headline “Many Republicans to vote for Obama.”  Limbaugh responded by saying:

I understand I’ve got a big challenge here to try to get Republicans to change their minds on this and vote for Hillary to keep her in the race, to keep that party at war with itself…

It’s clear that Republicans in Texas have been listening to this program where we have advised Republicans to pimp themselves for a day and go vote in the Democrat primary … I just think, at this stage, the longer Hillary can stay in this, the better for us.

I know I’m fighting an uphill battle … vote for Hillary to keep this campaign going, this “uncivil war.”

Remember what this is, this is about us winning. You have to understand, it’s not about Hillary winning; It’s about us winning. It’s about our party winning. It’s about those people losing. They’ve got some problems in the Democratic Party. It’s not all sweetness and light over there…

If Hillary loses this thing, all of that’s going to come to a screeching halt. We want all the disruption in that party as possible. It’s about us winning.

I think that if Limbaugh is successful, this will help out the Republicans come November, but I don’t think it is necessary. I think the Democrats (especially Clinton) have fallen into infighting WAY to much.

IF(and that’s a HUGE if, because I don’t think it will happen) Clinton does win the nomination, the Democrats are done.  She will lose the independents and the young voters that Obama has attracted.  He’s almost like the Ron Paul for the Democrats (except he also attracted a large part of the party base) – he’s winning hugely with the independents, young people, and those who don’t normally vote (which is ironic, because he’s more liberal than Clinton, except on health care – where at least he isn’t forcing his plan on EVERYBODY).

This also teaches the Democrats a lesson.  They cross party lines for our primaries all the time (a lot of people did it in Michigan and a lot voted for Giuliani – the most liberal candidate we had).  They did it in 2000 with McCain.  This is why I think we need closed primaries (sure it goes against Democracy, but PARTY primaries are about what the party wants, NOT democracy.  If you don’t like it – go start your OWN party!) to keep the parties out of each other’s primaries.

But if Limbaugh’s drive is successful, I’ll be a very happy man today (Rob, if you’re reading this, that was a straight shot out to you).

Done Ranting,

Ranting Republican
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Rest in Peace: William F. Buckley Jr.

February 29, 2008

I know this is a couple days late, but I just wanted to take some time and honor the great conservative thinker, William F. Buckley Jr.

Since 1955, Buckley has been writing newspaper columns and hosting talk shows.

He had a sense of humor too.  In 1965 when he ran for Mayor of New York City under the Conservative party (since any Republican who gets elected there isn’t a true conservative.  i.e. Giuliani), he was asked what he would do if he won.  His response was, “Demand a recount.”

Above all, he was always civilized on his talk shows (hehe – not my strong point).

So, Mr. Buckley, God bless you and may you rest in peace.

Done eulogizing,

Ranting Republican
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Up-To-Date Delegate Count for the Republican Presidential Race

February 22, 2008

OK, I finally corrected all of my errors!  So here is the day-by day update (normally put out the day after an election).  It should be noted that on several occasions, the count is a couple days late, and the last update was not after an election, but was me catching up on RNC delegates who pledged themselves to a candidate:

Candidate 4-Jan 6-Jan 9-Jan 16-Jan 21-Jan 1-Feb 2-Feb 6-Feb 10-Feb 13-Feb 20-Feb 22-Feb
Huckabee 20 20 21 24 31 31 31 183 219 219 219 219
Romney 18 26 30 50 68 68 84 293 293 293 293 293
Thompson 3 6 6 6 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
McCain 3 3 10 17 40 97 99 695 697 810 879 886
Paul 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 16 16 16 16 16
Giuliani 1 1 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Hunter 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Here are the RNC delegte changes (3 possible in most states, some have 0, but none have more than 3): McCain gained 3 in Nevada, 1 in Maine, 3 in Alabama, Arizona, and California, 1 in Colorado, 3 in Connecticut, 1 in Illinois, 2 in North Dakota, 1 in Oklahoma and Tennessee, 3 in Louisiana and Puerto Rico, 1 in Ohio and Texas, 2 in Pennsylvania, 1 in Nebraska, 3 in Hawaii, 2 in South Dakota, 3 in American Samoa and Guam, and 1 in Northern Marianas.

Here’s a chart of the awarded delegates (click the image to enlarge it):

Republican Delegate Tracker as of 2-22-08

And here’s a chart of the percentage of delegates awarded (again, click to enlarge):

Republican Delegate Percentage Tracker as of 2-22-08

I’ll most likely add all of Romney’s delegates to McCain’s – I just want to wait a little longer to see if any formally switch to someobdy else or just become uncommitted.

On to the Democrats (which could take longer, since they have WAY more delegates).

Done Summarizing,

Ranting Republican
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Analysis of the Republican Results in Wisconsin & Washington

February 22, 2008

Here are the “final” results from the Washington and Wisconsin.  Washington’s results are still being counted, so I’ll do an update for them when their delegate information comes in.  The italic numbers (relevant to Wisconsin only) indicate an approximation (within probably 1 vote), since I couldn’t find official results for all of the candidates, but based on descrpencies between my 2 sources, I’m fairly confident that the votes will only differ by 1 or 2:

Date State Candidate Votes % Delegates RNC Delegates Total Delegates Delegate Count
19-Feb Washington Huckabee 99,840 22.72%     0 219
**87.45% of ballots** Romney 79,716 18.14% 0 293
Primary Thompson 3,816 0.87% 0 0
  McCain 216,396 49.24% 0 841
  Paul 32,771 7.46% 0 16
  Giuliani 4,335 0.99% 0 0
  Hunter 825 0.19% 0 0
  Keyes 1,744 0.40%   0
   
  Wisconsin Huckabee 151,201 36.94% 0 0 0
  Romney 8,082 1.97% 0 0 0
  Thompson 2,705 0.66% 0 0 0
  McCain 224,226 54.78% 31 0 31
  Paul 19,210 4.69% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 2,087 0.51% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 187 0.05% 0 0 0
  Uninstructed 849 0.21% 0 0 0
    Hunter 799 0.20% 0 0 0

And here’s a copy of the delegate chart:

Republican Delegate Count as of 2-19-08

I’ll have a summary of the delegate count for the Republicans up later.

Done Adding,

Ranting Republican
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Republican Results for the Potomac Primaries

February 18, 2008

OK, apparently I have an error somewher in McCain’s numbers, so take the chart with a grain of salt – it’s almost 3:00 A.M., and I’m dead tired, so I’ll fix this later.

Here are the results from the Potomac Primaries, Maryland, Virginia, and Washington, D.C.  The gray colors indicate candidates who have dropped out:

Date State Candidate Votes % Delegates RNC Delegates Total Delegates Delegate Count
12-Feb Washington, D.C. Huckabee 984 16.75% 0 0 0 219
  Romney 354 6.03% 0 0 0 293
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0 0
  McCain 3,967 67.55% 16 0 16 810
  Paul 477 8.12% 0 0 0 16
  Giuliani 91 1.55% 0 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0 0
   
  Maryland Huckabee 88,937 28.67% 0 0 0
  Romney 21,294 6.86% 0 0 0
  Thompson 2,832 0.91% 0 0 0
  McCain 170,273 54.88% 34 0 34
  Paul 18,501 5.96% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 4,276 1.38% 0 0 0
  Hunter 512 0.17% 0 0 0
  Keyes 3,258 1.05% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 358 0.12% 0 0 0
   
  Virginia Huckabee 198,787 40.78% 0 0 0
**2450 of 2454 precinctts** Romney 17,500 3.59% 0 0 0
  Thompson 3,368 0.69% 0 0 0
  McCain 243,981 50.05% 60 3 63
  Paul 21,867 4.49% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 1,975 0.41% 0 0 0
    Hunter   0.00% 0 0 0

And here’s a chart of the delegate count after those primaries:

Republican Delegate Count after Potomac Primaries

Next I’ll do the Democrats and then a summary of  both parties.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Republican Results for the Kansas, Louisiana, and Washington Elections

February 18, 2008

Here are the results for the February 9th, Republican caucus in Kansas (measured in state delegates), the Louisiana primary (which is purely advisory and does NOT impact the delegates), and the Washington caucus (measred in state delegates, but we won’t know a delegate count until later).  Tom Tancredo is included in “Others” and the number in parenthesis indicates the number of other candidates (Note – I forgot to gray Romney out indicating he had dropped out, but it’s too hard to go back and fix it now):

Date State Candidate Votes % Delegates RNC Delegates Total Delegates Delegate Count
9-Feb Kansas Huckabee 11,627 59.58% 36 0 36 219
  Romney 653 3.35% 0 0 0 293
  Thompson 61 0.31% 0 0 0 0
  McCain 4,587 23.50% 0 2 2 697
  Paul 2,182 11.18% 0 0 0 16
  Giuliani 34 0.17% 0 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0 0
  Keyes 288 1.48% 0 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 84 0.43% 0 1 1 1
   
  Louisiana Huckabee 69,594 43.18% 0
  Romney 10,222 6.34% 0
  Thompson 1,603 0.99% 0
  McCain 67,551 41.91% 0
  Paul 8,590 5.33% 0
  Giuliani 1,593 0.99% 0
  Hunter 368 0.23% 0
  Keyes 837 0.52% 0
  Others (3) 811 0.50% 0
   
Washington Huckabee 23.20% 0
**99.99% of precincts** Romney 15.50% 0
  Thompson 0
  McCain 25.30% 0
  Paul 21.50% 0
  Giuliani 0
  Other 1.10% 0
  Uncommitted 13.50% 0
    Hunter         0

And here’s a chart of the delegate count after those elections:

Republican Delegate Count after 2-9-08

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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