Alright, so Saturday is the Democratic Territorial Convention for Guam, and since I’ll be on the road tomorrow, I’m going to put up my prediction tonight. Tomorrow, 8 of the 13 (or 4 of the 9 actual votes) delegates will be decided:
- Clinton – 61% – 5 delegates (worth 2.5 at the national convention)
- Obama – 38% – 3 delegates (worth 1.5 at the national convention)
- Others – 1% – 0 delegates
These 8 delegates are only worth half a vote each when going to the convention, so I’m guessing that it will round out to 2 and 2, with 5 Superdelegates, worth 5 votes going as well. I really don’t think Clinton is going to get above 63.33%, which would give her 6 delegates, so I’m pretty confident in my prediction of 2-2 delegates (that gives me QUITE a bit of wiggle room, so Obama could actually win, and the final delegate vote prediction could be right – kinda cheap, I know).
Unfortunately, with so few primaries/caucuses/conventions going on, all focus has turned to Indiana and North Carolina (next Tuesday), so I won’t be able to live blog this one (there’s just nowhere to find the information as results come in – even the Guam Democratic Party doesn’t have a website with the information), so I’ll either post the results Saturday or Sunday, depending on when they come in.
Tags: 2008 Election, 2008 Primary, Barack Obama, Convention, Delegates, Democrat, Democratic National Convention, Democrats, DNC, Election, Guam, Hillary Clinton, Indiana, North Carolina, Politics, Primary