Alright, so tomorrow is the Pennsylvania Primaries! As of recent polls and general trends, the following is my prediction for the Democrats:
- Clinton – 53.4% 87 delegates
- Obama – 45.1% 71delegates
- Other – 1.5% 0 delegates
I think Clinton will perform well among current undecided voters, and spread her lead from the current (approximately, according to the polls) 6% to 8%, perhaps even better. I’d like to see her get above 55%, but I don’t think that will happen.
Now, my prediction for the Republicans, which is actually somewhat hard, since I don’t know how many Romney/Huckabee/Paul/etc… supporters will turn out:
- McCain – 84% 62 delegates
- Paul – 12% 0 delegates
- Huckabee – 2% 0 delegates
- Romney – 1% 0 delegates
- Others – 1% 0 delegates
I will try to live-blog the event as results come in. The polls close at 8:00 P.M. EDT, so we won’t see results come in until 8:30ish. I’ll be out early tomorrow evening, but I am going to try to be back so that I can live-blog the results.
I will update this Democratic prediction if necessary, after a few last-minute polls are released after midnight tonight, so check back for a FINAL prediction (the Republican one will stay the same).
Tags: 2008 Election, 2008 Primary, Barack Obama, Delegates, Democrat, Democrats, Election, Elections, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Pennsylvania, Politics, Primary, Republican, Republicans, Ron Paul