Posts Tagged ‘Arizona’

Live Analysis of President Obama’s Health Care Speech to Congress

September 9, 2009

I know it’s been a while since I’ve done a blog post (other than the one I did yesterday), but I figured this was an important issue to talk about, and I’ll probably be writing a column on health care sometime this week, so this will help me get some ideas down a little early.

President Obama is about to give  a speech to a joint session of Congress, and I’ll be giving my live analysis of his speech.  And this is live, so excuse any typos – I’m not always great at typing quickly.

Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi has just gaveled the session into order, so we’ll begin in about 10 minutes here.

The President’s speech is expected to last about 45 minutes (not including applause), so I’m guessing that it will run close to an hour (maybe a little over) when it’s all done.

Speaker Pelosi has now called the session to order – Vice President Joe Biden by her side.

The Escort Committee is now leaving to follow behind President Obama when he enters the chamber.

Michelle Obama is now arriving.  The Cabinet is now coming into the chamber.

President Obama is now coming into the chamber – and he’s getting a lot of applause (as every President does during these joint sessions).

He’s now up to the podium – Speaker Pelosi is trying to bring the chamber to order.  She is now introducing President Obama.

He’s talking about the last time he spoke here – that it was during the worst economic situation we’ve faced since the Great Depression.  “We are by no means out of the woods … a full recovery is still months away.”  He’s saying that he won’t let up until “those who seek jobs can find them.”

Wow – Hillary Clinton looks out-of-place – she’s wearing this red suit and she’s surrounded by men in black suits.

President Obama is thanking Congress for their help and support in trying to fix America’s economy.  He’s talking about building a future for America, and that health care is central to that future.

“I am not the first President to take up that cause, but I am determined to be the last.”  It’s a nice quote, but there’s always going to have to be reform – things change – nothing will ever be perfect.

He’s talking about Teddy Roosevelt talking about health care reform, and Representative John Dingell (D-MI) introducing a bill every session to reform health care.

Talking about the hardships facing those who are uninsured – not those on welfare, but mostly the middle class.  He’s talking about people being denied insurance because of previous conditions.  “We are the only democracy … the only wealthy nation who allows such hardship for its people.”  But we’re also the democracy who other countries turn to for certain health care needs (such as Canadians needing some quick emergency treatments).

Talking about insurance companies dropping patients in the middle of treatment for bogus reasons such as having acne and not claiming it – and I’ll agree with him here – that’s a problem that SHOULD be addressed.

Talking about insurance premiums going up, and leading to businesses not being able to open/survive because of health care costs.

It’s “placing an unsustainable burden on taxpayers. … We will eventually be spending more on Medicare and Medicaid than every other program combined.”  Again – he’s right here – Medicare/Medicaid costs are getting out of control – it’s just the solution where I disagree with him.

Talking about a single payer system like Canada’s or a plan that individuals should buy their own health care, but both of these are radical shifts that would disrupt the health care system.  He’s saying we should use what works as a template and fix the problems in our current system, rather than switch to a Canadian-style system or a completely individual style system.

He’s now talking about the 5 committees coming up with health care bills in Congress – an amount of reform that has been unprecedented in history – and again – this is a good thing – if we have multiple ideas, we have more to choose from and more discussion going around.

Now he’s talking about opponents to reform using scare tactics and just trying to score political points.  “The time for bickering is over.  The time for games has passed.”  Games and bickering are part of the American political system – it’s a sad fact, but it’s true.  And both parties do it, but getting into a “Well the other party did __________” kind of mentality is bad for America.

“If you already have insurance … nothing in this plan will require you to change what you have. … What this plan will do is make this insurance that you have work better for you.”  It’ll make it illegal for insurance companies to deny you based on a preexisting condition.  And that got a LOT of applause.  It will be illegal for them to drop you when you get sick.

“No one should go broke because they get sick. … Insurance companies will be required … to cover routine check ups … and preventative care. … It saves money and it saves lives.”  And that was all for people who already have insurance.

For those who don’t, this plan will give you an opportunity to get quality insurance.  “We’ll do this by creating a new business exchange.”  Insurance companies will want this because it gives them more customers.

And for those who still can’t afford insurance, tax credits will be provided.  The exchange will take effect in 4 years.

He’s talking about immediate relief for those who get sick before then, citing a plan that Senator McCain proposed during the plan during the 2008 campaign – and Senator McCain just got a huge grin on his face.

He’s saying that some people may not want to pay for insurance, but when they get sick, we wind up paying for their health care when they wind up in the hospital.  “Under my plan, people will be required to carry basic health insurance” just like states require people to have basic auto insurance.

And this is where I disagree with the President.  Personally, I don’t think we should be forcing people to buy insurance; however, I also don’t think that we should then be paying for their hospital visits.  If someone decides not to get insurance, and they get sick, then we shouldn’t be footing the bill – they should just have to pay for treatment themselves or not get it.

Now, moving on to “key controversies that are still out there:”

  • Saying that there won’t be plans to try to kill off the elderly who are sick.
  • No money will go toward illegal immigrants. – and somebody just shouted “Lie!” and Speaker Pelosi gave him a stare of death – whoever it was, that was pretty unprofessional and immature.
  • No money will go toward funding abortions.
  • This will not be a takeover of the entire health care system.

These are all good points, and I’d encourage EVERYBODY to read the bill that finally gets introduced instead of just listening to either the Democrats’ talking points or the Republicans’ talking points.

“Consumers do better when there’s choice and competition.”  And he’s absolutely right about that – but instead of setting up a government program to do this, we should open insurance markets to cross state lines, so that companies can compete nationwide, adding more competition all over the nation.

He’s saying that he doesn’t want to drive insurance companies out of business, just hold them accountable.

He’s saying that he would like a non-profit public option (which that surprised me that he still pushed for that – I figured that he wasn’t going to try to push that tonight).  It would be an option for those who don’t have insurance, and people wouldn’t be forced to chose it.  He estimates that less than 5% of Americans would sign up.  He’s saying that this public option wouldn’t be funded by the government, but would have to be self sufficient.

But what would happen if it stopped being self sufficient?  Would it essentially turn into a Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac?

He’s saying that some are suggesting that the public option only go into effect where insurance companies aren’t competing well, or that we have a private co-op instead.  Saying that he won’t back down from giving a choice to people who can’t afford health care.

And the screen just panned over to the Republican section and they really do not look happy about this.

“Now he’s talking about how we’ll pay for the plan – “I will not sign a plan that adds one dime to our deficit – either now, or in the future. … Period.”  He’s saying that in his plan, there will be a section that will require spending cuts if the means of saving money aren’t there.  He’s now talking about the past administration making a mistake in passing tax cuts that we couldn’t afford as well as the Iraq War.

And while he does have an excellent point with the Iraq War part (which is a whole separate issue), I don’t think that that jab at the Bush Administration is going to help win any Republicans over – and with Senator Kennedy gone, they’re going to need an additional Republican vote in the Senate.  That was a bad strategic move on the President’s part.

Talking about ensuring that Medicare will be there for future generations.  Saying that seniors pay too much out-of-pocket for prescription drugs.  Saying not to pay attention to “scary stories that your benefits will be cut.”  GOP members don’t look happy.  “I will protect Medicare.”

“Making [Medicare] more efficient will [help make] the entire system more efficient.”  Saying that if we reduce waste in Medicare and Medicaid, that will pay for his plan.  Well why don’t we just reduce waste in Medicare and Medicaid anyway!  Why do you need to add one “good” thing to get rid of one bad thing?  Why not just cut waste out of M&M whether or not the other health care reforms pass or not.

Talking about malpractice reform bringing down costs of health care – and all the GOP members stood up and started cheering – even Biden stood up for that one.  Saying that we need to put safety first and let doctors focus on practicing medicine.  Saying that the Bush Administration wanted to test some of these ideas in individual states, and he likes that plan too.  So now he’s playing to the Republican side a bit – which is good because he’s going to need to do that if he wants this to pass the Senate.

Now talking about it’ll cost $900 billion over the next 10 years, but that’s less than the Iraq War…and I think he said something about the Bush tax cuts – I didn’t catch it.  Whatever it was, the Dems liked it, but the Repubs looked pretty pissed off – Rep. Thad McCotter (R-MI) really didn’t like whatever was said.

Saying he won’t stand by as the special interest groups fight to keep things the way they are.  “I will not accept the status quo as the solution.”  And he’s right – we DO need reform – I just disagree with him on the type of reform we need.

Talking about reforms leading to saving lives.

“We cannot fail … there are too many Americans counting on us to succeed.”

Talking about the late Senator Kennedy (D-MA) on his death bed talking about this year being the year that health care reform will be passed.

Health care reform has been a source of “rigorous and intense debate”.

Obama’s talking about Senators Hatch (R-UT) and McCain (R-AZ) and Grassley (R-IA) working with Senator Kennedy.  That his p”assion was born out of his own experience … having 2 children stricken with cancer.”  He’s saying that “concern for others … is not a partisan” issue.  “We are all in this together, and when fortune turns against us, others are there to give us a helping hand. … Sometimes government has to step in.”

Saying that Republicans and Democrats joined together in 1965 when they created Medicare.

“When any efforts to help people in need are attacked as unAmerican … and we can no longer engage in a civil conversation” … I missed that last part.  Whatever his point was (I’m sure it was something about engaging in civil debate) – I agree here – we need to discuss it, not try to drown one side out.

“I still believe we can act when it’s hard.”  Saying we need to have “civility” and not gridlock the process but make progress.

“I still believe we can do great things, and that here and now we will meet history’s test.  Because that is who we are.  That is our calling.  That is our character.  Thank you, God Bless You, and may God Bless the United States of America.”

Now the Republican response by Representative Charles Boustany (R-LA):

Republicans are ready for reform.  We’ve lost jobs since February.  “Americans want health care reform … [They’re saying] it’s time to start over with a … bipartisan plan.”

He’s saying that Obama’s plan will cost Americans more – that even the Congressional Budget Office agrees – it’ll create 53 new bureaus and raise the deficit.  It won’t make the program better for seniors.

“The President [could have] taken government run health care off the table, but he didn’t.”

Americans should be able to get insurance with preexisting conditions.  We should give incentives for healthy choices and preventative care.

“We’re grateful that the President mentioned medical liability reform.”  “Junk lawsuits drive up the cost of medical care.”

We should establish a plan that would enable people to buy insurance across state lines – and that was one of McCain’s big pushes during the ’08 campaign that I really agreed with.

“This Congress can pass meaningful reform soon … working together in a bipartisan way, we can lower the cost of health care.”

Alright – I wasn’t able to catch that much of the response because there weren’t any pauses in that speech, but it was basically the same thing that McCain said during his Presidential campaign.

Overall, I think the President did a moderately good job.  I wish he would’ve gone into detail a little more than he did, and there are some things that I definitely disagree with, but there were some good points:

Malpractice/tort reform is a huge part of the plan that will help lower costs of health care.  Eliminating waste in Medicaid and Medicare is another great thing that we need to do.  Ensuring a way that people can keep their coverage even when they get sick is another necessity that almost everybody agrees with.

I disagree with the public option, and I disagree with forcing people to have some sort of insurance plan.

I wish that he would consider adopting the plan to allow people to cross state borders to purchase health care plans.

Overall, it was a good speech, but I think he took a couple too many jabs at Republicans and the Bush administration (he’s going to need some Republicans’ votes, and that wasn’t a way to win them over).  I also wish he would’ve had more details of his plan, but with only having 45 minutes, that’s hard to do.

I’m not sold on the President’s plan, but I do think there are some good parts of the plan that I’d like to see develop.

We’ll see what’s introduced and what Congress does with the bill(s).

Done Analyzing,

Ranting Republican

4 Days to Go: My Presidential Election Prediction: Obama 291, McCain 247

October 31, 2008

Alright, so last Tuesday, I did a prediction for the Presidential election, predicting an Obama with victory of 286-252, and said I’d update it this Tuesday.  Well, I got a little busy, but here’s my updated prediction.  I’ve also done a prediction for the Senate and Gubernatorial elections.

The maps are provided courtesy of Dave Leip’s U.S. Election Atlas (and you can find the most updated version of my prediction on that website here).  The colors on this website are switched from the normal colors (and I’m too lazy to switch them back to the normal colors – but back in the 1980s, these colors were the colors that the  media used). 

Alright, on to the predictions…

Obama – 291
McCain – 247

So, the states where you might disagree with my position:

  • Ohio: As the current trand of the past week keeps up, it’ll come out right about tied.  I think McCain’s last minute blitz campaigning will help him pull out just BARELY on top.
  • Misssouri, McCain has been leading recently, baring a few polls.
  • North Carolina: I was unsure last week, and I’m still unsure this week.  I really haven’t changed my opinion on this.  I’ll make a hopefully more final decision when I do my final prediction on Monday.  As of now, I think it’ll just barely go to McCain.
  • Florida: Despite Obama’s recent lead in the polls, I think McCain will come back and win here, but if Obama continues to increase his lead, I’ll switch it over to him.

Now, the map indicating the confidence that I have that my prediction is right:

Obama – 291
McCain – 185
Tossup – 62

Now, how has this map changed since my last map? Here’s a chart of the changes:

State

Previous

Current

Reasoning

AK

R60S

R50S

Doesn’t look like McCain will reach 60%.

AZ

R60S

R50S

Doesn’t look like McCain will reach 60%

CA

D50S

D60S

Looks like Obama will manage to reach 60% here.

DE

D50S

D60S

Looks like Obama will manage to reach 60% here.

IN

R50S

D40L

More and more polls are coming out showing that Indiana is going to go to Obama.  I’m not exactly 100% sure yet, but it’s looking like it’ll be decently hard for McCain to come back and be able to win here.

NV

R40T

D50L

Again, like Indiana, the polls just don’t look like McCain will win here.  Originally, I was predicting a declaration of Obama’s victory early in the night and thought that less Obama supporters in Nevada would show up, but Obama has now garnered enough support here in Nevada, that an early victory declaration won’t give McCain a victory in Nevada.

PA

D50S

D50L

Originally, this looked really strong for Obama, but then all 4 candidates (President and VP) headed to Pennsylvania to campaign, which made me suspicious as to Obama’s strength there.  Combined with a blitz of campaigning here on McCain’s part plus Representative John Murtha’s comments about West Pennsylvania, I’m switching this over to the “Lean” category, but I’m still confident that Obama will win.

TN

R60S

R50S

Doesn’t look like McCain will reach 60%.

ME CD1

D50S

D60S

Based on recent polls that broke down demographic areas of the state, it looks like Obama will reach 60% here, but I don’t think he will in District 2 or on a statewide level.

So, at this point, I think it’ll take a small miracle for McCain to win.  All of the states that are toss-ups, I have going to McCain, so, in theory, if the toss-up states go to Obama, Obama would win 353-185.

I’ll do a final prediction on Monday, so check back for my final prediction.

Done Predicting,

Ranting Republican
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Holy Crap! This Election Could Get Weird: An Electoral College Tie? Acting President Pelosi?

September 25, 2008

So, I’ve been looking through polls lately, and the way it stands now, if Obama holds all the states he currently has, and McCain picks up all the tossup states, we’d have an Electoral College tie (assuming that all the electors keep their promise to vote for their party).

Let’s look at the map (courtesy of my favorite election website, the U.S. Election Atlas) of the current polls (note, that first link may be different than the image below.  That link goes to the updated version of the polls.  The image below is an image that I created inputting the different numbers):

Electoral Votes:
Obama: 269
McCain: 212
Tossup: 57

Now, these are the averages of the last 3 polls.  I have a couple disagreements with the polls:

  • Pennsylvania is not slight Obama.  I think it should be Lean Dem.
  • Michigan is not Lean Dem.  It should be slight Dem.  There was a recent poll that had Obama way more ahead than he really is, and I think it’s skewing the results.
  • Florida isn’t Slight Rep.  I think it’s Lean Rep.
  • West Virginia isn’t Slight Rep.  It should also be Lean Rep in my opinion.
  • I don’t think Minnesota is Slight Dem.  I think it should probably be Lean Dem.
  • Montana should be Strong Rep not Lean Rep, but there were a couple polls throwing that off.
  • Nevada should probably be Slight McCain in all honesty, but I’ll talk about that later.

Other than that, I agree with this map.  So, let’s take a look at the tossup states:

  • Nevada: Although it’s close, most recent polls have shown McCain with a slight lead here.  I wouldn’t be surprised if that switches over to slight McCain in the next 3 days (whenever a poll comes out).  It’s really only a tossup because of an ARG (American Research Group) poll, and they’re a pretty crappy polling firm.  My call: McCain +5.  That puts him at 217.
  • North Carolina: Freakishly close lately, and it’s a state that we wouldn’t expect to be close.  However, I think this’ll trend back toward McCain as we get closer to Election day.  My call: McCain +15.  That puts him at 232.
  • Virginia: Similar to Nevada, most polls have shown McCain with a lead here.  I think we simply have some outliers, and as more polls come out, we’ll see that swing back to Slight McCain.  My call: McCain +13.  That puts McCain at 245.
  • New Hampshire: Most polls have had Obama winning, but recently it’s been trending toward McCain, and then McCain took the lead (granted one of those was an ARG poll, so we can ignore one of the three that had McCain winning).  This may be more of a gut feeling than actual math, but I think New Hampshire will go for McCain.  My call: McCain +4.  That gives him 249.
  • Ohio: Now, here’s the exciting one.  This has been by far the closest state in this election.  Polls have had Obama and McCain ahead of each other, as well as simply tied.  Trying to call this right now is really probably a shot in the dark, but because McCain has an ever so slight lead here, I’m going to make my call: McCain +20.  That would give McCain 269.  And the two are now tied.

I think we need to talk a little more about one last state: Michigan, my home state.  Although it’s not this way on the map, I said that I think Michigan is the only Slight Obama state.  I think it’s the only current Obama state that could be in play.  With a rough economy, a lot could happen, and the economy has been effecting Michigan the worst.  If Michigan were to go for McCain, McCain could then afford to lose either North Carolina, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia, or Nevada and New Hampshire.  If he won Michigan, but lost Virginia and New Hampshire (also a very good possibility), we would once AGAIN have a tie.

So, what’s my honest prediction?  I’m glad you asked.  I’ll show you (since this’ll get outdated, I’m sure, here’s a link to my prediction page, which will have my latest prediction on it):

Percentages:

Electoral Votes:
Obama: 269
McCain: 269

 

Confidence:

Electoral Votes:
Obama: 252
McCain: 227
Tossup: 59

 

So, what would happen if my prediction comes true?

  1. Assuming that we don’t have any faithless electors (electors who don’t vote the way they’re supposed to), and I don’t think we will–any faithless elector is pretty much asking to be assassinated: The vote would go to the House of Representatives.  But they do things kinda funky when they vote.  They don’t vote individually, they vote by state delegation, so it’s winner take all, but the Representatives decide, not the voters.  Here’s a map of the current House:

    The Republicans hold 21 of those, the Democrats hold 27, and 2 are tied.  You need 26 to win (50 states, so 1 more than half).  Obama wins, right?  Well, hold on a minute.  There’s a couple of things we have to keep in mind:

    1. Alaska could easily be won by the Democrat this year.  That’d be one more for Obama.
    2. Arizona, a tied state, could easily go to the Republican side.  Even if it doesn’t, a Democrat may be swayed to vote for the “home state boy.”  I’m pretty confident that we can add Arizona to McCain’s pile.  McCain has 22.
    3. Indiana could easily go over to the Republicans.  For now, I’ll keep Indiana in Obama’s pile.
    4. So, we have Obama with 27, McCain with 22, and 1 tie.  I think Kansas would go for McCain, making it 27, 23.  Obama wins, right?  Again, slow down.
    5. 4 of Obama’s delegations are in the south.  I don’t see the Tennessee, North Carolina, or Mississippi delegations voting for an African American.  That makes it Obama 24, McCain 26.  McCain wins.  However, there are enough Democrats in Mississippi that there’s an EVER SO SLIGHT possibility that it’d go for Obama.  That leaves us at 25-25.
  2. If we get to 25-25, they’d keep voting.  If they never break the tie…
  3. While the House was voting on President, the Senate would have elected the Vice-President, and we’d have acting President Biden/Palin.  As it stands now, it’d probably be a tie.  You have 49 Democrats and 49 Republicans, plus Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Joe Lieberman (I-CT).  Sanders votes with the Democrats (he caucuses with them, so he would vote with them on this).  Lieberman, who caucuses with the Democrats votes for McCain.  I don’t doubt this, he’s endorsed him.  That gives us 50-50. 
  4. We then have acting President Nany Pelosi, since Speaker of the House is next in line.  Scary, I know.
  5. One litle note I forgot to put in here – the House has until March 4th to come up with a President.  If they don’t by then, then the acting President (whether that be the VP choice that the Senate made or the Speaker of the House) becomes the President.

Not only is this scenario extremely complicated, it’s historically unprecedented, but it actually has a decent chance of happening.  I shudder to think that Pelosi could be President, but this would be one heck of a story for the history books.

I’ll hopefully becoming out with Predictions once a week, as more polls and details come in, and as we get closer to the election.  I’ll also be covering the debate tomorrow night, live, so come back here for lots more election fun.

Done Hypothetically Situating,

Ranting Republican
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Barack Obama: “I will be the Democratic nominee”

June 3, 2008

Well, Barack Obama has given a speech, claiming victory as the Democratic nominee.  Well, I’ve got news Barack, it really “isn’t over until the lady in the pants suit says so.”  Why?  Because the lady has a whole host of hit men who have done some pretty good work before (ok, maybe they did work for her husband, but it’s all in the family).  If I were Barack, I would be VERY careful.  There’s a reason that Clinton didn’t concede tonight, and I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Obama doesn’t make it through until the convention, let alone November 4th.

Anyway,  here’s the speech that Obama gave:

Tonight, after fifty-four hard-fought contests, our primary season has finally come to an end.

Sixteen months have passed since we first stood together on the steps of the Old State Capitol in Springfield, Illinois. Thousands of miles have been traveled. Millions of voices have been heard. And because of what you said – because you decided that change must come to Washington; because you believed that this year must be different than all the rest; because you chose to listen not to your doubts or your fears but to your greatest hopes and highest aspirations, tonight we mark the end of one historic journey with the beginning of another — a journey that will bring a new and better day to America. Tonight, I can stand before you and say that I will be the Democratic nominee for President of the United States.

Like I said – it’s not over until convention.  Weirder things have happened in politics.

I want to thank every American who stood with us over the course of this campaign – through the good days and the bad; from the snows of Cedar Rapids to the sunshine of Sioux Falls. And tonight I also want to thank the men and woman who took this journey with me as fellow candidates for President.

At this defining moment for our nation, we should be proud that our party put forth one of the most talented, qualified field of individuals ever to run for this office. I have not just competed with them as rivals, I have learned from them as friends, as public servants, and as patriots who love America and are willing to work tirelessly to make this country better. They are leaders of this party, and leaders that America will turn to for years to come.

Aww, that’s cute!

That is particularly true for the candidate who has traveled further on this journey than anyone else. Senator Hillary Clinton has made history in this campaign not just because she’s a woman who has done what no woman has done before, but because she’s a leader who inspires millions of Americans with her strength, her courage, and her commitment to the causes that brought us here tonight.

Don’t kid people – you hate her guts.

We’ve certainly had our differences over the last sixteen months. But as someone who’s shared a stage with her many times, I can tell you that what gets Hillary Clinton up in the morning – even in the face of tough odds – is exactly what sent her and Bill Clinton to sign up for their first campaign in Texas all those years ago; what sent her to work at the Children’s Defense Fund and made her fight for health care as First Lady; what led her to the United States Senate and fueled her barrier-breaking campaign for the presidency – an unyielding desire to improve the lives of ordinary Americans, no matter how difficult the fight may be. And you can rest assured that when we finally win the battle for universal health care in this country, she will be central to that victory. When we transform our energy policy and lift our children out of poverty, it will be because she worked to help make it happen. Our party and our country are better off because of her, and I am a better candidate for having had the honor to compete with Hillary Rodham Clinton.

No, it’s her need for power, not love for the people that got her where she is.

There are those who say that this primary has somehow left us weaker and more divided. Well I say that because of this primary, there are millions of Americans who have cast their ballot for the very first time. There are Independents and Republicans who understand that this election isn’t just about the party in charge of Washington, it’s about the need to change Washington. There are young people, and African-Americans, and Latinos, and women of all ages who have voted in numbers that have broken records and inspired a nation.

OK, so you have more voters – they’re still divided voters when it comes to Democrats.  And since Clinton hasn’t conceded yet, after the math shows that it’s over, unless she does something on the convention floor or swings some of your Superdelegates, your party will CONTINUE to be divided.

All of you chose to support a candidate you believe in deeply. But at the end of the day, we aren’t the reason you came out and waited in lines that stretched block after block to make your voice heard. You didn’t do that because of me or Senator Clinton or anyone else. You did it because you know in your hearts that at this moment – a moment that will define a generation – we cannot afford to keep doing what we’ve been doing. We owe our children a better future. We owe our country a better future. And for all those who dream of that future tonight, I say – let us begin the work together. Let us unite in common effort to chart a new course for America.

Again – I’d disagree.  Most of the new voters came out for either you or Ron Paul.  And you did WAY better than Ron Paul – so most of the new voters came out for you.

In just a few short months, the Republican Party will arrive in St. Paul with a very different agenda. They will come here to nominate John McCain, a man who has served this country heroically. I honor that service, and I respect his many accomplishments, even if he chooses to deny mine. My differences with him are not personal; they are with the policies he has proposed in this campaign.

Thank you for acknowledging his service – that shows some class that should always shown to our service men, but what accomplishments of yours has he denied?

Because while John McCain can legitimately tout moments of independence from his party in the past, such independence has not been the hallmark of his presidential campaign.

Well, that’s because he’s OUR nominee – and our party is generally right and yours is wrong.  Of course, when he switches sides, he’s often on the wrong side, but he’s my nominee, so I’m going to vote for him.  He’s a heck of a lot better than you.

It’s not change when John McCain decided to stand with George Bush ninety-five percent of the time, as he did in the Senate last year.

Um, you’re the one who’s all about change, not McCain.

It’s not change when he offers four more years of Bush economic policies that have failed to create well-paying jobs, or insure our workers, or help Americans afford the skyrocketing cost of college – policies that have lowered the real incomes of the average American family, widened the gap between Wall Street and Main Street, and left our children with a mountain of debt.

He has a GREAT plan to get people insured, which is nothing like what Bush has done.  I really like his plan to allow people to cross state lines to get insurance.  And who cares what the gap is between rich and poor – the important thing is helping the poor richer.  The gap doesn’t matter.  That’s what’s wrong with  Democrats.  They care too much about catching up to the rich instead of being able  to just care for themselves.

And it’s not change when he promises to continue a policy in Iraq that asks everything of our brave men and women in uniform and nothing of Iraqi politicians – a policy where all we look for are reasons to stay in Iraq, while we spend billions of dollars a month on a war that isn’t making the American people any safer.

OK – I’ll give you some on his one.  We need to embrace Chuck Hagel’s plan, and make sure the Iraqis actually become independent and can function on their own.

So I’ll say this – there are many words to describe John McCain’s attempt to pass off his embrace of George Bush’s policies as bipartisan and new. But change is not one of them.

Change is a foreign policy that doesn’t begin and end with a war that should’ve never been authorized and never been waged. I won’t stand here and pretend that there are many good options left in Iraq, but what’s not an option is leaving our troops in that country for the next hundred years – especially at a time when our military is overstretched, our nation is isolated, and nearly every other threat to America is being ignored.

OK, I’ve said this before, I’ll say it again (obviously Barack doesn’t read my blog).  The time we spend there doesn’t matter – the amount of troops does.  We still have people in Korea, and nobody seems to care, that’s because we have a VERY small amount.

We must be as careful getting out of Iraq as we were careless getting in – but start leaving we must. [What, did Yoda write the speech?] It’s time for Iraqis to take responsibility for their future. It’s time to rebuild our military and give our veterans the care they need and the benefits they deserve when they come home. It’s time to refocus our efforts on al Qaeda’s leadership and Afghanistan, and rally the world against the common threats of the 21st century – terrorism and nuclear weapons; climate change and poverty; genocide and disease. That’s what change is.

Change is realizing that meeting today’s threats requires not just our firepower, but the power of our diplomacy – tough, direct diplomacy where the President of the United States isn’t afraid to let any petty dictator know where America stands and what we stand for. We must once again have the courage and conviction to lead the free world. That is the legacy of Roosevelt, and Truman, and Kennedy. That’s what the American people want. That’s what change is.

OK, but you DO have to understand that diplomacy won’t always work.

Change is building an economy that rewards not just wealth, but the work and workers who created it. It’s understanding that the struggles facing working families can’t be solved by spending billions of dollars on more tax breaks for big corporations and wealthy CEOs, but by giving a the middle-class a tax break, and investing in our crumbling infrastructure, and transforming how we use energy, and improving our schools, and renewing our commitment to science and innovation. It’s understanding that fiscal responsibility and shared prosperity can go hand-in-hand, as they did when Bill Clinton was President.

McCain HAS a plan to give the middle class a tax break.  And McCain also has plans to use alternative (cheaper) energy – such as nuclear energy.

John McCain has spent a lot of time talking about trips to Iraq in the last few weeks, but maybe if he spent some time taking trips to the cities and towns that have been hardest hit by this economy – cities in Michigan, and Ohio, and right here in Minnesota – he’d understand the kind of change that people are looking for.

HAHAHAHAHA AHAHAHA HAAAAHAAAAAAAHAAAAAAAA!!  Whoa boy – that’s funny.  You’re lecturing McCain about not visiting cities in Michigan.  You’ve visited my state what, 4 or 5 times?  I can handle your misspeakings, but this is just hypocritical bull crap.

Maybe if he went to Iowa and met the student who works the night shift after a full day of class and still can’t pay the medical bills for a sister who’s ill, he’d understand that she can’t afford four more years of a health care plan that only takes care of the healthy and wealthy. She needs us to pass health care plan that guarantees insurance to every American who wants it and brings down premiums for every family who needs it. That’s the change we need.

And McCain HAS a plan to do that.

Maybe if he went to Pennsylvania and met the man who lost his job but can’t even afford the gas to drive around and look for a new one, he’d understand that we can’t afford four more years of our addiction to oil from dictators. That man needs us to pass an energy policy that works with automakers to raise fuel standards, and makes corporations pay for their pollution, and oil companies invest their record profits in a clean energy future – an energy policy that will create millions of new jobs that pay well and can’t be outsourced. That’s the change we need.

Um, no – we don’t need to make cars that run more efficiently on OIL.  We NEED to do like John McCain and advocate for different energy, such as nuclear and fuel cells.  We need to get off oil, not make it more efficient.

And maybe if he spent some time in the schools of South Carolina or St. Paul or where he spoke tonight in New Orleans, he’d understand that we can’t afford to leave the money behind for No Child Left Behind; that we owe it to our children to invest in early childhood education; to recruit an army of new teachers and give them better pay and more support; to finally decide that in this global economy, the chance to get a college education should not be a privilege for the wealthy few, but the birthright of every American. That’s the change we need in America. That’s why I’m running for President.

Again – college should NOT be a birthright.  Why does everybody need to go to college?  College is SO overrated because of social norms now.  Plumbers, mechanics, carpenters, etc… don’t need to go to college.  Go to trade school and get out in the workforce.  Sure, doctors are more prestigious, but we need plumbers too!  If we send everybody to college, we have a bunch of white collar workers, and nobody to fill blue collar jobs, so we ship MORE jobs overseas.

The other side will come here in September and offer a very different set of policies and positions, and that is a debate I look forward to. It is a debate the American people deserve. But what you don’t deserve is another election that’s governed by fear, and innuendo, and division. What you won’t hear from this campaign or this party is the kind of politics that uses religion as a wedge, and patriotism as a bludgeon – that sees our opponents not as competitors to challenge, but enemies to demonize. Because we may call ourselves Democrats and Republicans, but we are Americans first. We are always Americans first.

I believe it was YOU who made religion a wedge with your comments in Pennsylvania.

Despite what the good Senator from Arizona said tonight, I have seen people of differing views and opinions find common cause many times during my two decades in public life, and I have brought many together myself. I’ve walked arm-in-arm with community leaders on the South Side of Chicago and watched tensions fade as black, white, and Latino fought together for good jobs and good schools. I’ve sat across the table from law enforcement and civil rights advocates to reform a criminal justice system that sent thirteen innocent people to death row. And I’ve worked with friends in the other party to provide more children with health insurance and more working families with a tax break; to curb the spread of nuclear weapons and ensure that the American people know where their tax dollars are being spent; and to reduce the influence of lobbyists who have all too often set the agenda in Washington.

In our country, I have found that this cooperation happens not because we agree on everything, but because behind all the labels and false divisions and categories that define us; beyond all the petty bickering and point-scoring in Washington, Americans are a decent, generous, compassionate people, united by common challenges and common hopes. And every so often, there are moments which call on that fundamental goodness to make this country great again.

So it was for that band of patriots who declared in a Philadelphia hall the formation of a more perfect union; and for all those who gave on the fields of Gettysburg and Antietam their last full measure of devotion to save that same union.

So it was for the Greatest Generation that conquered fear itself, and liberated a continent from tyranny, and made this country home to untold opportunity and prosperity.

So it was for the workers who stood out on the picket lines; the women who shattered glass ceilings; the children who braved a Selma bridge for freedom’s cause.

So it has been for every generation that faced down the greatest challenges and the most improbable odds to leave their children a world that’s better, and kinder, and more just.

And so it must be for us.

America, this is our moment. This is our time. Our time to turn the page on the policies of the past. Our time to bring new energy and new ideas to the challenges we face. Our time to offer a new direction for the country we love.

The journey will be difficult. The road will be long. I face this challenge with profound humility, and knowledge of my own limitations. But I also face it with limitless faith in the capacity of the American people. Because if we are willing to work for it, and fight for it, and believe in it, then I am absolutely certain that generations from now, we will be able to look back and tell our children that this was the moment when we began to provide care for the sick and good jobs to the jobless; this was the moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal; this was the moment when we ended a war and secured our nation and restored our image as the last, best hope on Earth. This was the moment – this was the time – when we came together to remake this great nation so that it may always reflect our very best selves, and our highest ideals. Thank you, God Bless you, and may God Bless the United States of America.

OK, so that was Barack Obama’s speech that he gave earlier tonight.

He claims he’s the nominee – but really – I think Clinton will take it to the convention where some weird things will happen, but then Obama will prevail.  If Obama’s smart, he WON’T pick her as his VP, but who knows.  He may want to “unify the party,” but Clinton can’t unify anything from the Democratic party, the nation, or even her marriage (admit it, Hill – it’s a sham).

Hello, President John Sydney McCain III

OK, I’ll be looking at Clinton’s speech next.

Done  Ranting,

Ranting Republican
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Associated Press Releases Comments from Undecided Superdelegates

April 20, 2008

Today, the Associated Press released comments from 10 Superdelegates who have said that they do not yet know who they’ll cast their vote for at the convention.  Here they are with my analysis of them, comment-by-comment.

“The pitches are surprisingly similar, although the Obama people tout their successes in terms of pledged delegates, states won and popular vote. The Clinton people tout her alleged electability.” — Keith Roark of Idaho [Roark is the Idaho Democratic Party Chairman].

I pretty much agree with this one.  Although, I don’t think that Clinton’s electability is better than Obama’s, and I find it funny that Roark adds the word “alleged” when describing her electability.

“Obama supporters want me to declare right now, Clinton supporters want me to wait. A month ago it was the opposite.” — Wayne Kinney of Oregon.

He’s got a point here.  As soon as Obama reaches the magical number, I think Dean will push for Clinton to drop out.  What Clinton would want to do at that point is try to convince some Obama delegates to vote for her at the convention.  His statement about “A month ago it was the opposite” reminds me a lot about what Governor Bill Richardson (D-NM-Obama) said when discussing his Obama endorsement.

“I just say firmly I am tired of being spun. My advice is go out and win delegates.” — Rep. Rick Larsen of Washington.

Again, this reminds me a lot of what Richardson said when discussing his endorsement.

“I’m going to look at the popular vote, the electoral vote and the number of states that each candidate has won. After that (intelligence), I’m going to look at what the climate is of the party.” — Inola Henry of California.

This one seems like there’s going to be a LOT of factors in making a decision.  It reminds me of a question that Wolf Blitzer asked Howard Dean in his recent interview.

“It’s very important, who has the most delegates. The superdelegates should not be the ones making the decision.” — Linda Chavez-Thompson of Texas [She is the Democratic National Committee Vice-Chair].

She’ll be for Obama then – because I DOUBT Clinton can take the lead without Superdelegate help.

“I’m in a Clinton state. Obama seems to be ahead. I’m not going to move to vote for anybody until Clinton has a chance to do everything that she can do.” — Don Bivens of Arizona [He is the Arizona Democratic Party Chairman].

It sounds like he’s a Clinton supporter, but he doesn’t want to vote for Clinton if it would hurt the party too much.  I think he’ll go for Clinton.

“I think it’s critical that we not be perceived as a group of party elites coming in at the end of the process overturning the will of the people.” — Rep. Jason Altmire of Pennsylvania.

Obama vote.

“The single most important criterion is backing the candidate who represents the will of the people, but we won’t know who that is until the nominating cycle has concluded.” — Ed Espinoza of California.

You’d better vote for Obama then, because if he loses, you’ll lose more voters come November than you will if Clinton loses.

“The party created superdelegates to keep the process on track, moving toward the selection of a nominee who will be a good candidate and a good president. I have a job when the process starts to get off track, and so far it hasn’t.” — Rep. Rush Holt of New Jersey.

Sounds like an Obama vote to me.

“I hope we don’t get to a point where the superdelegates are deciding the election.” _ Rep. Harry Mitchell of Arizona.

I’m not sure if this was included as one of the undecided quotes or not, since it was in italics.  But, according to the Wikipedia list, he’s undecided.  This sounds like another Obama vote to me.

So, there you have it.  A look into the mind of undecided Superdelegates of the Democratic Party (scary, I know).

I still think it’ll be Obama as the nominee, but I’ll keep hoping it’s Clinton.  Keep up the infighting you 2!

Done Quoting,

Ranting Republican
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More Police Agencies Are Cracking Down on Illegal Immigration

March 30, 2008

The Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agencey (ICE) has been offering training programs to police departments that allow them to enforce federal immigration laws since 1996, but up until 2002, only 1 department took them up on that offer.  Now ICE is training 42 departments with 92 in the queue.

  • In Houston, inmates’ immigration status is verrified.
  • Attorney General Anne Milgram (D-NJ) has requested that all police ask arrested suspects their immigration status.
  • Governor Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) signed an executive order that requires all state agents to enforce immigration laws.
  • Maricopa County, Arizona (includes Phoenix) Sheriff Joe Arpaio (“America’s Toughest Sherrif”) (Republican) said, “When my deputies come across illegals, they arrest them — even on traffic violations.  People ask me why I am taking this on?  The last I heard, crossing the border is an illegal activity.  I took an oath of office to enforce the law, so I am enforcing the law.”

But some people oppose this enforcement, such as Susan Shah, a spokesman of the Vera Institute of Justice in New York, who claims, “People are very, very fearful of interaction with law enforcement.  Even people with legal status, whose families may have mixed immigration status, now have a fear of opening the door” (MSNBC).  I don’t see why LEGAL citizens should have any fear at all – if they’re legal, what’s the problem?  Like I said in a previous post, if you aren’t breaking the law, why are you afraid?

And then you have some people claiming that victims of crimes and domestic violence won’t come forward.  Well, if they come forward, then you take down their story, arrest the criminals, and then deport any illegal immigrants – that way, if the victims are miles away, and they won’t be victims any more anyway.

And if people prey on illegal immigrants because of their status, and they figure that the immigrants won’t report them because they don’t want to be deported, then charge the criminals with a hate crime, under the U.S. Federal code.

I do have to say that while I am all for police departments arresting illegals, they shouldn’t be pulling people over just because of skin color, because that’s racism.  If they run the plate of a car and find out that it’s an illegal immigrant, that’s fine, but they do need probable cause.

Fortunately, here in Michigan, we don’t have a huge illegal immigrant problem (although it still is a problem even if we have 1), but I hope people like Sheriff Joe Arpaio keep up the great work in stopping this crime wave that is out of control!

Done Ranting,

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McCain Hints at a Romney Vice Presidency While the Two Campaign

March 29, 2008

So, while campaigning in Colorado yesterday, Senator John McCain (R-AZ) gave an awfully nice complement to former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA), saying, “I am convinced that Governor Romney has earned himself because of the quality of his campaign and the success of it a very large roll in the Republican party.”  Romney wouldn’t respond to reporters’ questions on the matter.  Here’s a video of the the event:

I have always said that I think Romney WILL be McCain’s running mate, but we’ll have to wait and see what happens.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Republican Results from Super Tuesday Primaries and Caucuses

February 15, 2008

OK, now that all of the data is finally in, and I have free time, I can give all the final numbers from Super Tuesday for the Republicans (Democrats will be the next post) (a note, if you’re viewing this on the main page, click this post’s title so that the numbers won’t overlap onto the sidebar text) (also, Tom Tancredo is included in the category of “Other” unless he was the only other, then he is listed as his own name.  The number int the parenthesis indicates the number of other candidates):

Date State Candidate Votes % Delegates RNC Delegates Total Delegates Delegate Count
5-Feb Alabama Huckabee 230,608 40.73% 20 0 20 183
  Romney 103,295 18.24% 0 0 0 293
  Thompson 1,929 0.34% 0 0 0 0
  McCain 210,989 37.26% 16 0 16 695
  Paul 15,454 2.73% 0 0 0 16
  Giuliani 2,224 0.39% 0 0 0 0
  Hunter 399 0.07% 0 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 1,257 0.22% 0 0 0 0
  Tancredo 95 0.02% 0 0 0 0
   
  Alaska Huckabee 2,672 21.89% 6 0 6
  Romney 5,378 44.07% 12 0 12
  McCain 1,894 15.52% 3 0 3
  Paul 2,050 16.80% 5 0 5
  Uncommitted 210 1.72% 0
   
  Arizona Huckabee 40,849 7.66% 0 0 0
  Romney 186,838 35.05% 0 0 0
  Thompson 9,492 1.78% 0 0 0
  McCain 255,197 47.88% 50 0 50
  Paul 22,692 4.26% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 13,658 2.56% 0 0 0
  Hunter 1,082 0.20% 0 0 0
  Keyes 970 0.18% 0 0 0
  Others (16) 2,256 0.42% 0 0 0
   
  Arkansas Huckabee 136,734 60.50% 29 3 32
  Romney 30,574 13.53% 1 0 1
  Thompson 624 0.28% 0 0 0
  McCain 45,709 20.22% 1 0 1
  Paul 10,771 4.77% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 651 0.29% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 946 0.42% 0 0 0
   
  California Huckabee 299,837 11.49% 0 0 0
  Romney 901,922 34.55% 12 0 12
  Thompson 47,302 1.81% 0 0 0
  McCain 1,097,856 42.06% 158 0 158
  Paul 110,536 4.23% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 120,754 4.63% 0 0 0
  Hunter 13,142 0.50% 0 0 0
  Keyes 10,400 0.40% 0 0 0
  Others (3) 8,608 0.33% 0 0 0
   
  Colorado Huckabee 8,960 12.76% 0 0 0
  Romney 42,218 60.11% 43 0 43
  Thompson 63 0.09% 0 0 0
  McCain 12,918 18.39% 0 0 0
  Paul 5,910 8.42% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 58 0.08% 0 0 0
  Hunter 25 0.04% 0 0 0
  Keyes 67 0.10% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 10 0.01% 0 0 0
   
  Connecticut Huckabee 10,600 6.99% 0 0 0
  Romney 49,885 32.91% 0 0 0
  Thompson 538 0.35% 0 0 0
  McCain 78,830 52.01% 27 0 27
  Paul 6,266 4.13% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 2,470 1.63% 0 0 0
  Hunter 136 0.09% 0 0 0
  Keyes 373 0.25% 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 2,462 1.62% 0 0 0
   
  Delaware Huckabee 7,706 15.34% 0 0 0
  Romney 16,344 32.53% 0 0 0
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0
  McCain 22,628 45.04% 18 0 18
  Paul 2,131 4.24% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 1,255 2.50% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 175 0.35% 0 0 0
   
  Georgia Huckabee 326,874 33.92% 45 0 45
  Romney 290,707 30.17% 0 0 0
  Thompson 3,414 0.35% 0 0 0
  McCain 304,751 31.63% 3 0 3
  Paul 28,096 2.92% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 7,162 0.74% 0 0 0
  Hunter 755 0.08% 0 0 0
  Keyes 1,458 0.15% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 324 0.03% 0 0 0
   
  Illinois Huckabee 147,626 16.54% 0 0 0
  Romney 256,805 28.77% 2 1 3
  Thompson 7,100 0.80% 0 0 0
  McCain 424,071 47.52% 54 0 54
  Paul 45,166 5.06% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 11,341 1.27% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 369 0.04% 0 0 0
   
  Massachussetts Huckabee 19,168 3.87% 0 0 0
  Romney 255,248 51.50% 22 0 22
  Thompson 942 0.19% 0 0 0
  McCain 204,027 41.16% 18 0 18
  Paul 13,210 2.67% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 2,643 0.53% 0 0 0
  Hunter 263 0.05% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 155 0.03% 0 0 0
   
  Minnesota Huckabee 12,493 19.88% 0 0 0
**4106 of 4122 precincts** Romney 25,990 41.37% 38 2 40
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0
  McCain 13,826 22.01% 0 0 0
  Paul 9,852 15.68% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 0.00% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
  Keyes 368 0.59% 0 0 0
  Write-In 299 0.48% 0 0 0
   
  Missouri Huckabee 185,598 31.56% 0 0 0
  Romney 172,414 29.32% 0 0 0
  Thompson 3,101 0.53% 0 0 0
  McCain 194,145 33.02% 58 0 58
  Paul 26,428 4.49% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 3,593 0.61% 0 0 0
  Hunter 306 0.05% 0 0 0
  Others (4) 364 0.06% 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 2,083 0.35% 0 0 0
   
  Montana Huckabee 245 15.03% 0 0 0
  Romney 625 38.34% 25 0 25
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0
  McCain 358 21.96% 0 0 0
  Paul 400 24.54% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 0.00% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
  Keyes 2 0.12% 0 0 0
   
  New Jersey Huckabee 45,699 8.18% 0 0 0
  Romney 158,692 28.40% 0 0 0
  Thompson 3,135 0.56% 0 0 0
  McCain 309,842 55.45% 52 0 52
  Paul 26,913 4.82% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 14,446 2.59% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
   
  New York Huckabee 65,404 10.90% 0 0 0
  Romney 168,275 28.04% 0 0 0
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0
  McCain 309,614 51.59% 87 0 87
  Paul 38,787 6.46% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 18,118 3.02% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
   
  North Dakota Huckabee 1,947 19.90% 5 0 5
  Romney 3,490 35.67% 8 0 8
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0
  McCain 2,224 22.73% 5 0 5
  Paul 2,082 21.28% 5 0 5
  Giuliani 0.00% 0 0 0
  Hunter 0.00% 0 0 0
  Keyes 42 0.43% 0 0 0
   
  Oklahoma Huckabee 111,899 33.40% 6 0 6
  Romney 83,030 24.78% 0 0 0
  Thompson 1,924 0.57% 0 0 0
  McCain 122,772 36.64% 32 0 32
  Paul 11,183 3.34% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 2,412 0.72% 0 0 0
  Hunter 317 0.09% 0 0 0
  Keyes 817 0.24% 0 0 0
  Others (3) 700 0.21% 0 0 0
   
  Tennessee Huckabee 190,682 34.48% 23 0 23
  Romney 130,452 23.59% 8 0 8
  Thompson 16,255 2.94% 0 0 0
  McCain 175,855 31.80% 15 0 15
  Paul 30,955 5.60% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 5,146 0.93% 0 0 0
  Hunter 736 0.13% 0 0 0
  Keyes 977 0.18% 0 0 0
  Tancredo 193 0.03% 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 1,828 0.33% 0 0 0
   
  Utah Huckabee 4,061 1.42% 0 0 0
**2240 of 2257 precincts** Romney 255,398 89.61% 36 0 36
  Thompson 575 0.20% 0 0 0
  McCain 15,276 5.36% 0 0 0
  Paul 8,311 2.92% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 930 0.33% 0 0 0
  Hunter 204 0.07% 0 0 0
  Keyes 252 0.09% 0 0 0
   
  West Virginia Huckabee 567 51.55% 18 0 18
**Convention Only** Romney 521 47.36% 0 0 0
  Thompson 0.00% 0 0 0
  McCain 12 1.09% 0 0 0
  Paul 0.00% 0 0 0
  Giuliani 0.00% 0 0 0
    Hunter   0.00% 0 0 0

And here’s a chart of the delegate count:

Republican Delegate Count after Super Tuesday

Done Adding,

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Republican Super Tuesday Results as of 2:00 A.M.

February 6, 2008

Here are the results for the states that I planned on updating as of  2:00 A.M.:

Alaska with 28% reporting (although media outlets haven’t called it, I’m calling it for Romney):

  1. Romney 1,200 41%
  2. Huckabee 634 22%
  3. McCain 539 19%
  4. Paul 466 16%
  5. Uncommitted 72 2%

Arizona with 80% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. McCain 203,409 47%
  2. Romney 146,840 34%
  3. Huckabee 39,035 9%
  4. Paul 18,432 5%
  5. Giuliani 12,069 3%

California with 34% reporting:

  1. McCain 526,337 44%
  2. Romney 329,689 27%
  3. Huckabee 141,881 12%
  4. Giuliani 103,977 9%
  5. Paul 47,398 4%

Colorado with 73% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Romney 33,288 60%
  2. McCain 10,621 19%
  3. Huckabee 7,266 13%
  4. Paul 4,670 8%

Minnesota with 82% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Romney 25,171 42%
  2. McCain 13,180 22%
  3. Huckabee 12,115 20%
  4. Paul 9,412 15%
  5. Giuliani 0 0%

Missouri with 100% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. McCain 194,304 33%
  2. Huckabee 185,627 32%
  3. Romney 172,564 29%
  4. Paul 26,445 4%
  5. Giuliani 3,595 1%
  6. Uncommitted 2,083 0%

Utah with 99% reporting (last update for tonight – and he got 90%!  I knew he’d get 90% – how many people thought he’d get that high – that was awesome):

  1. Romney 252,861 90%
  2. McCain 15,198 5%
  3. Paul 8,206 3%
  4. Huckabee 4,038 2%
  5. Giuliani 921 0%

And here’s an updated percentage map:

STR - Perc - 200STR - Key - Perc

And my accuracy map:

STR - Accur - 200STR - Key - Accur

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Democratic Super Tuesday Results as of 1:00 A.M.

February 6, 2008

Here are the results as of 1:00 A.M.  (Bold results are too close to call):

In Alabama with 99% reporting (my last update tonight):

  1. Obama 300,832 56%
  2. Clinton 223,090 42%
  3. Edwards 7,871 1%
  4. Uncommitted 2,676 1%

Alaska with 60% reporting:

  1. Obama 176 73%
  2. Clinton 66 27%
  3. Uncommitted 1 0%
  4. Edwards 0 0%

Arizona with 68% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 159,707 51%
  2. Obama 130,396 41%
  3. Edwards 19,446 6%

Arkansas with 83% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 176,745 69%
  2. Obama 70,025 28%
  3. Edwards 4,691 2%
  4. Uncommitted 2,795 1%

California with 21% reporting:

  1. Clinton 691,474 54%
  2. Obama 425,935 33%
  3. Edwards 122,758 10%

Colorado with 98% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 79,167 67%
  2. Clinton 38,506 32%
  3. Uncommitted 1,253 1%

Connecticut with 99% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 177,546 51%
  2. Clinton 163,383 47%
  3. Edwards 3,364 1%
  4. Uncommitted 2,985 1%

Delaware with 100% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 51,124 53%
  2. Clinton 40,751 43%
  3. Biden 2,863 3%
  4. Edwards 1,241 1%

Georgia with 97% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 660,846 66%
  2. Clinton 314,684 32%
  3. Edwards 17,510 2%

Idaho with 89% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 15,357 81%
  2. Clinton 3,146 17%
  3. Uncommitted 395 2%
  4. Edwards 97 0%

Illinois with 94% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 1,196,993 65%
  2. Clinton 618,763 33%
  3. Edwards 36,206 2%

Kansas with 98% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 26,469 74%
  2. Clinton 9,251 26%
  3. Edwards 53 0%
  4. Uncommitted 8 0%

Massachusetts with 95% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 665,564 56%
  2. Obama 483,716 41%
  3. Edwards 18,698 2%
  4. No Preference 7,279 1%

Minnesota with 78% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 129,093 67%
  2. Clinton 61,417 32%
  3. Uncommitted 1,179 1%
  4. Edwards 910 0%

Missouri with 99% reporting (the networks haven’t called it yet, but I’m going to call it for Obama):

  1. Obama 402,576 49%
  2. Clinton 394,491 48%
  3. Edwards 16,726 2%
  4. Uncommitted 3,130 1%

New Jersey with 98% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 591,666 54%
  2. Obama 484,891 44%
  3. Edwards 14,200 1%

New Mexico with 30% reporting:

  1. Clinton 15,205 52%
  2. Obama 12,342 42%
  3. Edwards 1,053 4%
  4. Richardson 410 1%
  5. Uncommitted 178 1%

New York with 99% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 1,000,915 57%
  2. Obama 696,342 40%
  3. Edwards 19,334 1%

North Dakota with 100% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Obama 11,625 61%
  2. Clinton 6,948 37%
  3. Edwards 283 2%

Oklahoma with 100% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 228,597 55%
  2. Obama 130,206 31%
  3. Edwards 42,853 10%

Tennessee with 100% reporting (my last update for tonight):

  1. Clinton 331,781 54%
  2. Obama 250,332 41%
  3. Edwards 27,558 4%
  4. Uncommitted 3,111 1%

Utah results with 99% reporting (last update for today):

  1. Obama 69,638 57%
  2. Clinton 48,413 39%
  3. Edwards 3,496 3%

And here’s a map of the current percentages (this is not necessarily a final map):

STD - Perc - 100STD - Key - Perce

And here’s my accuracy map:

STD - Accur - 100STD - Accur - 100STD Key - Accur

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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