Archive for the ‘Precinct Convention’ Category

Clinton Tries to Sway Texas Delegates, But Her Plan Backfires

April 1, 2008

So apparenlty Hillary Clinton had been calling precinct delegates who would be going to the Texas Democratc county / senate district conventions and telling them that they don’t technically have to vote for who their precinct supported in their precinct caucus back on March 4th.

Jeff Herbert e-mailed a story to the Dispatch telling his story of how he received 2 calls from the Clinton campaign in 3 days telling him this.

Here’s the problem: Jeff was an Obama supporter in a Clinton precinct, but he was chosen as a delegate and promised to vote for the Clinton since that’s what the voters in his precinct wanted.

So, what did Jeff do?  Well here’s what Jeff says:

However, they’ve achieved exactly the opposite — I didn’t know until they called that I even had the option, I thought I was forced to vote as the caucus had decided. Thanks to Hillary trying to change the rules after the fact and play dirty, I now can vote for my original guy with a clear conscience.

Be careful what you sow, for thereso shall ye reap, Mrs. Clinton.

That’s right Hillary, you lost yourself a delegate at Saturday’s conventions because you were going around trying to scrounge up every supporter you could find – you’re desperate.  I find this story awesome, and I hope that Clinton keeps stuff like this up.  This is EXACTLY the kind of stuff people mean when they say she’s going to use the “Tonya Harding Option.”  McCain won’t even have to campaign if she does stuff like this much longer.

Done Ranting,

Ranting Republican
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Prediction for the Texas Democratic County Conventions: Obama as Winner

March 29, 2008

OK, I almost forgot about this, but the Texas Democratic county / State Senate district conventions are today.

Here are the results with 41% reporting back from the March 4th Super Tuesday II caucus:

  1. Obama 23,918 delegates 56%
  2. Clinton 18,620 delegates 44%
  3. Uncommitted 38 delegates 0%

So, 7,298 delegates will be sent to the state convention, which will be held on June 5th-7th.  And from there, 67 of the 228 delegates will be awarded based on the caucus results (the 126 for the primary were already awarded to Clinton and Obama with 65 and 61, respectively).  35 unpledged Superdelegates will also go, bringing the total to 228 delegates.

Anyway, today is step 2 of determining how to award those 67 delegates that are awarded based on the caucus results.

If the proportions from the precinct caucuses hold the same, the results for tomorrow will be:

  1. Obama 4,100 county/district delegates 56%
  2. Clinton 3,192 county / district delegates 44%
  3. Uncommitted 7 county / district delegates 0%

If those proportions hold the same at the state convention, the 67 delegates going to the Democratic National Convention would be awarded as follows:

  1. Obama 38 delegates 56%
  2. Clinton 29 delegates 44%

But, there are 2 reasons that those numbers probably won’t work out quite like that:

  1. We only have 41% of the caucus results.
  2. In caucuses/conventions, people/delegates tend to switch over to the person with more support, so at todays convention, we may see Obama increase to 60%, and then at the state convention to 65%.  Or we could see that in that 59% that we don’t have, Clinton takes the lead and finishes with 65% at the state convention (but I don’t think that scenario is likely, since Obama’s followers are MUCH more dedicated).

Here’s my prediction for tomorrow:

  1. Obama 4,379 county / district delegates 60%
  2. Clinton 2,919 county / distrcit delegages 40%

And here’s my prediction for the state convention:

  1. Obama 43 delegates 65%
  2. Clinton 24 delegates 35%

I’ll have updates as they come in today.

Done Predicting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Results as of 3:45 P.M.: Obama Wins

March 7, 2008

Well, these results aren’t even trickling in anymore – they’ve been stalled since yesterday night at 41% reporting.  Perhaps they’ll be in by the county and district conventions on the 29th.  Here are the results so far:

  1. Obama 23,918 56%
  2. Clinton 18,620 44%
  3. Uncommitted 38 0%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Results – 8:45 P.M.: Obama Wins

March 5, 2008

Here are the Texas Democratic Caucus / precinct conventions as of 8:45 P.M. EST with 40% of the precincts reporting:

  1. Obama 32,009 56%
  2. Clinton 18,117 44%
  3. Uncommitted 39 0%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Resulsts – 5:45 P.M.: Obama Wins

March 5, 2008

Here are the results from the Texas Democratic caucus with 39% now reporting:

  1. Obama 22,628 56%
  2. Clinton 17,883 44%
  3. Uncommitted 39 0%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Results – 4:00 P.M: Obama Wins

March 5, 2008

Here are the results for the Democratic caucus in Texas, released about a half hour ago with 38% reporting (remember, these are precinct delegates going to the county conventions, NOT votes):

  1. Obama 21,955 56%
  2. Clinton 17,393 44%
  3. Uncommitted 39 0%

I think the media will call pretty soon (although the results are trickling in very slowly, so if they wait until around the 50% reporting mark, that could be tomorrow at this rate), but I’m still confident in my call for Obama.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Results – 3:45 A.M.: Obama Wins

March 5, 2008

Here are the results as of 3:45 A.M. with 36% reporting.  Clinton has gained a large amount of ground but I am confident in my Obama call.  I think his followers are more dedicated than hers, so I think they stuck around for the caucuses:

  1. Obama 20,209 52%
  2. Clinton 18,689 48%
  3. Uncommitted 32 0%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Results – 2:30 A.M.: Obama Wins

March 5, 2008

Here are the results as of 2:30 A.M. with 34% reporting (I suspsect the media will call it soon, but I’m confident in my Obama call).  Remember, these are state delegates, not actual votes:

  1. Obama 19,197 55%
  2. Clinton 15,480 45%
  3. Uncommitted 32 0%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Texas Democratic Caucus Results for 2:00 A.M.: Obama Wins

March 5, 2008

OK, the media hasn’t given it to him yet, but I’m confident enough.  Here are the numbers from the Texas Democratic caucus / precinct conventions as of 2:00 A.M. with 22% reporting (remember, these are state delegates, not actual votes.  They’ll go to the county conventions, then the state convention.):

  1. Obama 13,589 56%
  2. Clinton 10,874 44%
  3. Uncommitted 21 0%

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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