Analysis of President Obama’s Plans for GM and Chrysler

Alright, as promised, here’s my full analysis on President Obama’s plans for General Motors and Chrysler, which he unveiled today.  Here’s a video of the press conference, courtesy of the White House.  I’ll also have my commentary below (I’ll go through the transcript and add in my commentary):

THE WHITE HOUSE

Office of the Press Secretary

_______________________________________________________________
For Immediate Release                         March 30, 2009

REMARKS BY THE PRESIDENT ON THE AMERICAN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY

Grand Foyer

11:07 A.M. EDT

THE PRESIDENT: Good morning, everybody.

One of the challenges we’ve confronted from the beginning of this administration is what to do with the state of the struggling auto industry. In recent months, my Auto Task Force has been reviewing requests by General Motors and Chrysler for additional government assistance, as well as plans developed by each of these companies to restructure, to modernize, and to make themselves more competitive. Our evaluation is now complete. But before I lay out what needs to be done going forward, I want to say a few words about where we are and what led us to this point.

Well, government intervention is one of the things that led us to this point, but I’m guessing that you’re not going to talk about that.

It will come as no surprise that some Americans who have suffered most during this recession have been those in the auto industry and those working for companies that support it. Over the past year, our auto industry has shed over 400,000 jobs, not only at plants that produce cars, but at the businesses that produce the parts that go into them and the dealers that sell and repair them. More than one in 10 Michigan residents is out of work — the most of any state. And towns and cities across the great Midwest have watched unemployment climb higher than it’s been in decades.

That’s my state for you!

The pain being felt in places that rely on our auto industry is not the fault of our workers; they labor tirelessly and desperately want to see their companies succeed. It’s not the fault of all the families and communities that supported manufacturing plants throughout the generations. Rather, it’s a failure of leadership — from Washington to Detroit — that led our auto companies to this point.

Well, part of the fault lies with the unions, and those are the workers, but I’ll agree for the most part it’s the leadership’s failure.  The leadership has time and time again given in to the unionswhen the unions have threatened to strike.  That strengthens the UAW’s chokehold on the Big 3, but the leadership still should have stood up to the UAW.

Year after year, decade after decade, we’ve seen problems papered over and tough choices kicked down the road, even as foreign competitors outpaced us. Well, we’ve reached the end of that road. And we, as a nation, cannot afford to shirk responsibility any longer. Now is the time to confront our problems head-on and do what’s necessary to solve them.

Problems like not being able to pay the UAW workers, but giving in to their demands for ridiculous wage increases just so that you could avoid a strike.  Yeah, that’s one of the major factors that led us to where we’re at now.

We cannot, and must not, and we will not let our auto industry simply vanish. This industry is like no other — it’s an emblem of the American spirit; a once and future symbol of America’s success. It’s what helped build the middle class and sustained it throughout the 20th century. It’s a source of deep pride for the generations of American workers whose hard work and imagination led to some of the finest cars the world has ever known. It’s a pillar of our economy that has held up the dreams of millions of our people. And we cannot continue to excuse poor decisions. We cannot make the survival of our auto industry dependent on an unending flow of taxpayer dollars. These companies — and this industry — must ultimately stand on their own, not as wards of the state.

Somehow I find that last sentence hard to take seriously, since we pumped billions of dollars into them because “bankruptcy wasn’t an option” (although now it may be), and you decided that GM CEO Rick Wagoner should go – yeah – that’s having them stand on their own.

And that’s why the federal government provided General Motors and Chrysler with emergency loans to prevent their sudden collapse at the end of last year — only on the condition that they would develop plans to restructure. In keeping with that agreement, each company has submitted a plan to restructure. But after careful analysis, we’ve determined that neither goes far enough to warrant the substantial new investments that these companies are requesting.

So we’re going to give them ANOTHER chance!  YAY for government spending!

And so today I’m announcing that my administration will offer GM and Chrysler a limited additional period of time to work with creditors, unions, and other stakeholders to fundamentally restructure in a way that would justify an investment of additional taxpayer dollars. During this period they must produce plans that would give the American people confidence in their long-term prospects for success.

You do realize that you said that the LAST TIME, right?  Is this really their last chance?  Because “too big to fail” doesn’t seem like it’s conditional.  Either they are or aren’t too big to fail.

Now, what we’re asking for is difficult. It will require hard choices by companies. It will require unions and workers who have already made extraordinarily painful concessions to do more. It’ll require creditors to recognize that they can’t hold out for the prospect of endless government bailouts. It’ll have to — it will require efforts from a whole host of other stakeholders, including dealers and suppliers. Only then can we ask American taxpayers who have already put up so much of their hard-earned money to once more invest in a revitalized auto industry.

Because the unions have given up SO much already.  Give me a break.  If their wages were more in line with the foreign auto companies’ workers’, the American auto industry wouldn’t be suffering half as bad as it is now.

But I’m confident that if each are willing to do their part, if all of us are doing our part, then this restructuring, as painful as it will be in the short term, will mark not an end, but a new beginning for a great American industry — an auto industry that is once more out-competing the world; a 21st century auto industry that is creating new jobs, unleashing new prosperity, and manufacturing the fuel-efficient cars and trucks that will carry us towards an energy-independent future. I am absolutely committed to working with Congress and the auto companies to meet one goal: The United States of America will lead the world in building the next generation of clean cars.

That’s a great goal, but that is not the purpose of the Federal Government.  I have NO problem with the auto industry succeeding.  Heck, I would love nothing better than for it to succeed, but making sure that it succeeds is NOT the purpose of the government!

And no one can deny that our auto industry has made meaningful progress in recent years — and this doesn’t get talked about often enough. Some of the cars made by American workers right now are outperforming the best cars made abroad. In 2008, the North American Car of the Year was a GM. This year, Buick tied for first place as the most reliable car in the world. Our companies are investing in breakthrough technologies that hold the promise of new vehicles that will help America end its addiction to foreign oil.

Agreed – I do love my family’s GM cars (especially our Chevrolet Impala – gosh, I love that car).

But our auto industry is not moving in the right direction fast enough to succeed in a very tough environment. So let me discuss what measures need to be taken by each of the auto companies requesting taxpayer assistance, and I’ll start with General Motors.

GM has made a good faith effort to restructure over the past several months — but the plan that they’ve put forward is, in its current form, not strong enough. However, after broad consultation with a range of industry experts and financial advisors, I’m absolutely confident that GM can rise again, providing that it undergoes a fundamental restructuring. As an initial step, GM is announcing today that Rick Wagoner is stepping aside as Chairman and CEO. This is not meant as a condemnation of Mr. Wagoner, who’s devoted his life to this company and has had a distinguished career; rather, it’s a recognition that will take new vision and new direction to create the GM of the future.

More like you told Rick Wagoner to step aside.

In this context, my administration will offer General Motors adequate working capital over the next 60 days. And during this time, my team will be working closely with GM to produce a better business plan. They must ask themselves: Have they consolidated enough unprofitable brands? Have they cleaned up their balance sheets, or are they still saddled with so much debt that they can’t make future investments? Above all, have they created a credible model for how not only to survive, but to succeed in this competitive global market?

 “Adequate working capital” – that just sounds scary.  What does that even mean?  That seems a little too broad for my comfort.  What is the definition of “adequate” here, and who’s defining it?

Let me be clear: The United States government has no interest in running GM. We have no intention of running GM. What we are interested in is giving GM an opportunity to finally make those much-needed changes that will let them emerge from this crisis a stronger and more competitive company.

HAH!  They may have no interest in running GM, but it’s a little late to say that!  Your administration just gave Wagoner the boot.  If that’s not running GM, I don’t know what is.

The situation at Chrysler is more challenging. It’s with deep reluctance but also a clear-eyed recognition of the facts that we’ve determined, after careful review, that Chrysler needs a partner to remain viable. Recently, Chrysler reached out and found what could be a potential partner — the international car company Fiat, where the current management team has executed an impressive turnaround. Fiat is prepared to transfer its cutting-edge technology to Chrysler and, after working closely with my team, has committed to build — building new fuel-efficient cars and engines right here in the United States. We’ve also secured an agreement that will ensure that Chrysler repays taxpayers for any new investments that are made before Fiat is allowed to take a majority ownership stake in Chrysler.

Alright, at least that’s fair to the taxpayers.  And at least here, the government intrusion isn’t too bad – the Chrysler/Fiat merger wasn’t the government’s original idea, so that means that it can’t be all that bad (I’m joking – not everything the government does is bad).

Still, such a deal would require an additional investment of taxpayer dollars, and there are a number of hurdles that must be overcome to make it work. I’m committed to doing all I can to see if a deal can be struck in a way that upholds the interests of American taxpayers. And that’s why we’ll give Chrysler and Fiat 30 days to overcome these hurdles and reach a final agreement — and we will provide Chrysler with adequate capital to continue operating during that time. If they are able to come to a sound agreement that protects American taxpayers, we will consider lending up to $6 billion to help their plan succeed. But if they and their stakeholders are unable to reach such an agreement, and in the absence of any other viable partnership, we will not be able to justify investing additional tax dollars to keep Chrysler in business.

Again – “adequate capital” scares me.  And, if it may not be justifiable to invest more tax dollars if Chrysler can’t reach a deal to get a partner, then that must mean that they really weren’t too big to fail.

Now, while Chrysler and GM are very different companies with very different paths forward, both need a fresh start to implement the restructuring plan they develop. That may mean using our bankruptcy code as a mechanism to help them restructure quickly and emerge stronger. Now, I want everybody to be clear about this. I know that when people hear the word “bankruptcy” it can be unsettling, so let me explain exactly what I mean. What I’m talking about is using our existing legal structure as a tool that, with the backing of the U.S. government, can make it easier for General Motors and Chrysler to quickly clear away old debts that are weighing them down so that they can get back on their feet and onto a path to success; a tool that we can use, even as workers staying on the job building cars that are being sold.

If we’re going to use bankruptcy, why didn’t we just do that in the first place, BEFORE wasting BILLIONS of taxpayer dollars?  I thought bankruptcy wasn’t an option before?  What changed?

What I’m not talking about is a process where a company is simply broken up, sold off, and no longer exists. We’re not talking about that. And what I’m not talking about is a company that’s stuck in court for years, unable to get out.

The first one isn’t bankruptcy (per se), that’s liquidation.  I don’t think anybody’s advocating Chapter 7 bankruptcy.  I think we’d all advocate for Chapter 11 if bankruptcy winds up happening.

So it’s my hope that the steps I’m announcing today will have a salutary effect — will go a long way forward towards answering many of the questions that people have about the future of GM and Chrysler.

But just in case there’s still nagging doubts, let me say it as plainly as I can: If you buy a car from Chrysler or General Motors, you will be able to get your car serviced and repaired, just like always. Your warranty will be safe. In fact, it will be safer than it’s ever been, because starting today, the United States government will stand behind your warranty.

I don’t know how I feel about this.  On the one hand, I don’t like the fact that it could cost the government tons of money if the companies go under; however, without this guarantee, I really don’t think people would buy GM or Chrysler cars.  Another option would be to have a private 3rd party back the warranties, and if we could get that type of program set up, I’d rather do that than have the government backing warranties.

But we must also recognize that the difficulties facing this industry are due in no small part to the weaknesses in our economy as a whole. And therefore, to support demand for auto sales during this period, I’m directing my team to take several steps.

First, we will ensure that Recovery Act funds to purchase government cars get out as quickly as possible and work through the budget process to accelerate other federal fleet purchases, as well.

Second, we’ll accelerate our efforts through the Treasury Department’s Consumer and Business Lending Initiative. And we are working intensively with the auto finance companies to increase the flow of credit to both consumers and dealers.

But credit should only be going to those who deserve it.  As I’ve said before, credit, when used irresponsibly is a VERY dangerous tool.

Third, the IRS is launching a campaign to alert consumers of a new tax benefit for auto purchases made between February 16th and the end of this year — if you buy a car anytime this year, you may be able to deduct the cost of any sales and excise taxes. And this provision could save families hundreds of dollars and lead to as many as 100,000 new car sales.

Finally, several members of Congress have proposed an even more ambitious incentive program to increase car sales while modernizing our auto fleet. And such fleet modernization programs, which provide a generous credit to consumers who turn in old, less fuel-efficient cars and purchase cleaner cars, have been successful in boosting auto sales in a number of European countries. I want to work with Congress to identify parts of the Recovery Act that could be trimmed to fund such a program, and make it retroactive starting today.

Now, let there be no doubt, it will take an unprecedented effort on all our parts — from the halls of Congress to the boardroom, from the union hall to the factory floor — to see the auto industry through these difficult times. And I want every American to know that the path I’m laying out today is our best chance to make sure that the cars of the future are built where they’ve always been built — in Detroit and across the Midwest — to make America’s auto industry in the 21st century what it was in the 20th century — unsurpassed around the world. The path has been chosen after consulting with other governments that are facing this crisis. We’ve worked closely with the government of Canada on GM and Chrysler, as both those companies have extensive operations there. The Canadian government has indicated its support for our approach and will be announcing their specific commitments later today.

While the steps I’m taking will have an impact on all Americans, some of our fellow citizens will be affected more than others. So I’d like to speak directly to all those men and women who work in the auto industry or live in countless communities that depend on it. Many of you have been going through tough times for longer than you care to remember. And I won’t pretend that the tough times are over. I can’t promise you there isn’t more difficulty to come.

But what I can promise you is this: I will fight for you. You’re the reason I’m here today. I got my start fighting for working families in the shadows of a shuttered steel plant. I wake up every single day asking myself what can I do to give you and working people all across this country a fair shot at the American Dream.

Perhaps that’s the problem.  Perhaps instead of thinking what you should be doing to help the economy, you should be thinking of what you should just let go of and let it work itself out.  It’s a private business for a reason – keeping it that way some of the time wouldn’t hurt.

When a community is struck by a natural disaster, the nation responds to put it back on its feet. While the storm that has hit our auto towns is not a tornado or a hurricane, the damage is clear, and we must likewise respond. And that’s why today I’m designating a new Director of Recovery for Auto Communities and Workers to cut through the red tape and ensure that the full resources of our federal government are leveraged to assist the workers, communities, and regions that rely on our auto industry. Edward Montgomery, a former Deputy Labor Secretary, has agreed to serve in this role.

But damage from a natural disaster doesn’t fix itself.  Eventually an economy WILL fix itself.  Creating a new government department to cut through red tape – that seems oxymoronic to me.

And together with Labor Secretary Solis and my Auto Task Force, Ed will help provide support to auto workers and their families, and open up opportunity to manufacturing communities in Michigan and Ohio and Indiana and every other state that relies on the auto industry.

They will have a strong advocate in Ed. He will direct a comprehensive effort that will help lift up the hardest-hit areas by using the unprecedented levels of funding available in our Recovery Act and throughout our government to create new manufacturing jobs and new businesses where they’re needed most — in your communities. And he will also lead an effort to identify new initiatives we may need to help support your communities going forward.

“Unprecedented levels of funding” – translated means “really really unheard of high spending.”  Again, that’s why all of these talks of “adequate capital” and stuff like this scares me.  It takes the concept of carte blanche to a whole new level.

These efforts, as essential as they are, are not going to make everything better overnight. There are jobs that won’t be saved. There are plants that may not reopen. There’s little I can say that can subdue the anger or ease the frustration of all whose livelihoods hang in the balance because of failures that weren’t theirs.

But there’s something I want everybody to remember. Remember that it is precisely in times like these — in moments of trial and moments of hardship — that Americans rediscover the ingenuity and resilience that makes us who we are; that made the auto industry what it once was and what it will be again; that sent those first mass-produced cars rolling off the assembly lines; that built an arsenal of democracy that propelled America to victory in the Second World War; and that powered our economic prowess in the first American century.

Because I know that if we can tap into that same ingenuity and resilience right now, if we can carry one another through this difficult time and do what must be done, then we will look back and say that this was the moment when the American auto industry shed its old ways, marched into the future, remade itself, and once more became an engine of opportunity and prosperity not only in Detroit, not only in our Midwest, but all across America.

I’m confident we can make that happen, but we’ve got a lot of work to do. Thank you. Thank you, everybody.

END                        11:25 A.M
Additional materials regarding today’s announcement:
Warrantee Commitment Program
Chrysler Viability Assessment
GM Viability Assessment
Fact Sheet of GM and Chrysler 

Alright, so that’s the transcript of the President’s speech.  He definitely had an attitude of hopefulness and optimism in there, which is good, but I feel like it may not be warranted.

Personally, I think that his plan focuses WAY too much on government involvement in the auto industry.  Instead of trying to ensure that both GM and Chrysler succeed (which even Obama has said may not happen), I think it’s time to just let both of them go (it was time to do that months ago).  If they fail, they fail; if they succeed, they succeed.  And if they fail, another auto company may buy out a specific marque (or sub-company).  If GM fails, Ford may buy out Buick or Chrysler, etc.  And honestly, if one of them failed, I think the other 2 would rebound.

I really don’t see how the government intrusion is going to help.  And if one or both of the companies does fail after this plan, it would have been a HUGE waste of taxpayers’ money!

Ultimately, I hope the auto industry recovers, but I don’t see this plan as helping achieve that goal.

Done Ranting,

Ranting Republican

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4 Responses to “Analysis of President Obama’s Plans for GM and Chrysler”

  1. matt Says:

    This blog’s great!! Thanks :).

  2. Livonia Politico Says:

    I hate this UAW bashing. First of all the UAW is doing what it’s suppose to be doing which is representing it’s workers and getting the best deal possible. This arguement you make, from the business perspective is absolutely correct. However, a larger view will show that this race to lower wages for all workers is what’s put America in a steep decline.

    President Obama is doing as well as can be expected but there are so many ways for him to come out of this with egg on his face. The UAW doesn’t want to give anymore and free marketers are screaming to let em’ die. Meanwhile you have lots of people, Republican and Democrat (Granholm and McCotter) saying that his tone is too harsh with the big three.

    This whole situation sucks, because while the Big 3 weren’t doing great before, this credit crunch has brought them to their knees. But you know as well as I do that if GM goes under (we might be able to survive Chrysler) are whole area dies.

  3. inkslwc Says:

    But it often gets the workers a deal that the auto companies really can’t afford. I’m not arguing for all workers to have lower wages, only when workers’ wages are so high that it hurts American companies.

    I don’t think the whole area would die. I think Ford and/or Chrysler and foreign auto companies would pick up divisions of GM. Ford may take Buick; Chrysler may take Chevrolet, etc. Metro-Detroit would definitely be hurting, but I think we’d recover.

    The problem with Metro-Detroit is that we relied on the auto industry for too long thinking it’d always be there as “our” industry. Now that the auto industry is suffering, we’re scrambling. The movie industry could benefit the area, but any new industry coming to Detroit will take time.

  4. BG Says:

    Why in the hell should I pay to bailout GM and their unions when THEY make MORE that I do?????????????????????????????

    Bizzaro world. Get them out, GET THEM ALL OUT!!!!!

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