Tomorrow, Kentucky and Oregon will hold their primaries. Here are my predictions:
Kentucky:
Democrats:
- Clinton 67% 32 delegates
- Obama 32% 19 delegates
- Edwards 1% 0 delegates
Republicans:
- McCain 77% 42 delegates
- Huckabee 14% 0 delegates
- Paul 6% 0 delegates
- Romney 2% 0 delegates
- Giuliani <1% 0 delegates
- Keyes <1% 0 delegates
I have Paul as so low because it’s a closed primary and a lot of his supporters are independents.
Oregon:
Democrats:
- Obama 56% 29 delegates
- Clinton 43% 23 delegates
- Gravel 1% 0 delegates
Republicans:
- McCain 94% 28 delegates
- Paul 6% 2 delegates
Again, I have Paul so low because it’s a closed primary.
I may or may not have time to live blog tomorrows primaries, but I will post results some time.
Done Predicting,
Tags: 2008 Election, 2008 Primary, Alan Keyes, Barack Obama, Delegates, Democrat, Democrats, Election, Elections, Giuliani, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, John McCain, Kentucky, Mike Gravel, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Oregon, Politics, Primary, Republican, Republicans, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani






May 20, 2008 at 1:14 AM
You’re an idiot
May 20, 2008 at 4:06 PM
I’ve been called worse. Care to explain why I’m an idiot?
May 21, 2008 at 11:57 AM
Wow thats amazing you where very close. I’m a Democrat but even i love to look at this all close. I just want to know how you came up with the delegate count in the Kentucky primary because if you multiply the percentage by total delegates your of by 2 delegates.
Great prediction
P.S. Gravel was not on the Oregon ballet (but there was a write in, plus he left the democratic primary so how can he be on there ballet)
May 21, 2008 at 3:47 PM
It’s off by 2 because you can’t just multiply the percentage by total delegates. 34 were awarded by district, so you have to round for each district.
Adding Gravel in for Oregon was a mistake. I don’t know why I did that. I had somewhere that he was still on the ballot. My mistake.
May 8, 2009 at 4:55 AM
XISZWY comment2 ,