OK, so tomorrow is Super Tuesday II (the original March Super Tuesday date back in 2000 and 2004). I figured a video would be easy to explain it, so I made this:
Now, for the more detailed stuff (the numbers) (bold indicates a winner that I am confident in predicting):
Vermont Primary:
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Obama 62% 10 delegates
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Clinton 36% 5 delegates
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Other 2%
Rhode Island Primary:
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Clinton 56% 15 delegates
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Obama 43% 6 delegates
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Other 1%
Ohio Primary:
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Clinton 57% 99 delegates
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Obama 39% 42 delegates
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Other (mainly Kucinich) 4%
Texas Primary and Caucuses:
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Clinton 49% 68 delegates
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Obama 47% 58 delegates
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Other 3%
*Note – for Texas, 102 delegates will be desided at the state convention in June*
So, I think Clinton’s going to pull right back into this – I’m going to have a FINAL prediction for Texas once a few overnight polls are released, but I’m pretty confident about the others. Ohio will be a big win for her. I think it’ll be close – Obama will win the nomination, but the infighting will keep up and that’ll help John McCain (the Rush Limbaugh method).
Done Predicting,
Ranting Republican
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Tags: 2008 Election, 2008 Primary, Barack Obama, Caucus, Delegates, Democrat, Democrats, Election, Elections, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, March 4, March 4th, Ohio, Politics, Primary, Republican, Rhode Island, Rush Limbaugh, Super Tuesday, Super Tuesday 2, Super Tuesday II, Superdelegates, Texas, Vermont
March 4, 2008 at 1:35 AM
[...] inkslwc.wordpress.com via politisite [...]
March 4, 2008 at 2:17 AM
[...] Republican Ranting A blog that I post on whenever I see something that makes me want to go off on a Republican (Libertarian every once in a while) rant. « Prediction & Analysis of Democratic Super Tuesday II Primaries [...]
March 4, 2008 at 3:30 AM
[...] for the Republican Super Tuesday II Primaries Just like the Democrats (http://inkslwc.wordpress.com/2008/03/04/prediction-analysis-of-democratic-super-tuesday-ii-primaries…), the Republicans will have primaries in Ohio, Texas, Vermont, and Rhode Island. Here’s a [...]
March 4, 2008 at 4:09 AM
[...] Final Prediction for the Democratic Super Tuesday II Primaries OK, here is my final prediction for today’s Democratic primaries (original is here: http://inkslwc.wordpress.com/2008/03/04/prediction-analysis-of-democratic-super-tuesday-ii-primaries…): [...]