Archive for January, 2008

Rudy Giuliani Has Dropped out of the Presidential Race

January 31, 2008

OK, well it was rumored on Tuesday night after his 3rd place in Florida that this was going to happen, and yesterday Rudy Giuliani officially dropped out of the race for the Republican nomination and endorsed John McCain.

We knew it was going to happen, but I thought he’d wait until after Super Tuesday.  Then again, since the polls show him loosing his home state, I guess that would’ve been pretty humiliating, so I can understand why he dropped out.

Hopefully Romney can pull through and win California and some other Super Tuesday states, but it’s not looking good at this point.

I’ll have the final results from Florida up later today with a delegate count.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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John Edwards Has Dropped out of the Presidential Race

January 30, 2008

In a move that I expected would happen sometime after the Florida primary, John Edwards has decided to drop out of the running for the Democratic nomination after finishing 3rd in Florida.

Here’s a copy of his speech, and I’ll include some highlights: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/30/AR2008013002142.html.

Thank you all very much. We’re very proud to be back here [in New Orleans].


I began my presidential campaign here to remind the country that we, as citizens and as a government, have a moral responsibility to each other, and what we do together matters.

We must do better, if we want to live up to the great promise of this country that we all love so much.

It is appropriate that I come here today. It’s time for me to step aside so that history can — so that history can blaze its path.

We do not know who will take the final steps to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, but what we do know is that our Democratic Party will make history. We will be strong, we will be unified, and with our convictions and a little backbone we will take back the White House in November and we’ll create hope and opportunity for this country.

Well, in this campaign, we didn’t turn our heads. We looked them square in the eye and we said, “We see you, we hear you, and we are with you. And we will never forget you.”

And I have a feeling that if the leaders…

(LAUGHTER)

… if the leaders of our great Democratic Party continue to hear the voices of working people, a proud progressive will occupy the White House.

Now, I’ve spoken to both Senator Clinton and Senator Obama. They have both pledged to me and, more importantly, through me to America that they will make ending poverty central to their campaign for the presidency.

And more importantly, they have pledged to me that as president of the United States they will make ending poverty and economic inequality central to their presidency.

This is the cause of my life. And I now have their commitment to engage in this cause.

Well, I say … all those who are struggling in this country, we will never forget you. We will fight for you. We will stand up for you.

But I want to say this. I want to say this, because it’s important.

With all of the injustice that we’ve seen, I can say this, America’s hour of transformation is upon us.

It may be hard to believe when we have bullets flying in Baghdad. It may be hard to believe when it costs $58 to fill your car up with gas. It may be hard to believe when your school doesn’t have the right books for your kids.

It’s hard to speak out for change when you feel like your voice is not being heard.

But I do hear it. We hear it. This Democratic Party hears you. We hear you once again.

And we will lift you up with our dream of what’s possible: one America — one America that works for everybody; one America where struggling towns and factories come back to life, because we finally transformed our economy by ending our dependence on oil; one America where the men who work the late shift and the women who get up at dawn to drive a two-hour commute and the young person who closes the store to save for college, they will be honored for that work; one America where no child will go to bed hungry, because we will finally end the moral shame of 37 million people living in poverty; one America where every single man, woman and child in this country has health care; one America with one public school system that works for all of our children; one America that finally brings this war in Iraq to an end and brings our servicemembers home with the hero’s welcome that they have earned and that they deserve.

Today, I am suspending my campaign for the Democratic nomination for the presidency. But I want to say this to everyone: with Elizabeth, with my family, with my friends, with all of you and all of your support, this son of a mill worker is going to be just fine. Our job now is to make certain that America will be fine.

And I want to thank every one who has worked so hard, all those who have volunteered, my dedicated campaign staff who’ve worked absolutely tirelessly in this campaign.

And I want to say a personal word to those I’ve seen, literally, in the last few days — those I saw in Oklahoma yesterday, in Missouri, last night in Minnesota, who came to me and said, “Don’t forget us. Speak for us. We need your voice.”

I want you to know that you almost changed my mind.

(LAUGHTER)

Because I hear your voice, I feel you, and your cause is our cause.

Your country needs you, every single one of you, all of you who have been involved in this campaign and this movement for change and this cause. We need you. It is in our hour of need that your country needs you.

Don’t turn away, because we have not just the city of New Orleans to rebuild, we have an American house to rebuild.

This work goes on. It goes on right here in Musicians’ Village. There are homes to build here and in neighborhoods all along the Gulf.

The work goes on for the students in crumbling schools just yearning for a chance to get ahead.

It goes on for daycare workers, for steel workers risking their lives in cities all across this country.

And the work goes on for 200,000 men and women who wore the uniform of the United States of America, proud veterans who go to sleep every night under bridges or in shelters or on grates, just as the people we just saw on the way here today.

Their cause is our cause. Their struggle is our struggle. Their dreams are our dreams.

Do not turn away from these great struggles before us. Do not give up on the causes that we have fought for. Do not walk away from what’s possible. Because it’s time for all of us — all of us — together, to make the two Americas one.

Thank you, God bless you, and let’s go to work. Thank you all very much.

And so, Edwards is out, without an endorsement.  I think this will help Obama more than Hillary, since most people who so far haven’t supported Hillary have been the “I hate Hillary” Democrats.  (That’s too bad for the Republican party).

Of all of the Democrats, Edwards was the most likeable personally, and probably would’ve done the best in the general election, so I never understood why he’s done so bad in the primaries.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Florida Primary Results as of 11:00 P.M.: McCain, Clinton Win

January 30, 2008

OK, here’s my last update for the night.  As of 11:00 P.M., here’s the Florida primary results:

For the Democrats with 94% reporting:

  1. Clinton 832,635 50%
  2. Obama 552,421 33%
  3. Edwards 242,294 14%
  4. Kucinich 9,272 1%

And here are the results for the Republicans with 94% also reporting:

  1. McCain 675,961 36%
  2. Romney 581,740 31%
  3. Giuliani 274,943 15%
  4. Huckabee 253,233 14%
  5. Paul 60,388 3%
  6. Thompson 21,734 1%
  7. Hunter 2,697 0%

No delegates will be awarded to the Democrats, since they broke DNC rules.  57 delegates will be awarded to McCain, since Florida is a winner take all state (that’s half of the original 114, since they broke RNC rules).

Giuliani is expected to drop out and endorse McCain, which practically ends this race unless McCain kills kittens on live TV.  What now becomes important is McCain’s running mate.  Since McCain isn’t exactly a spring chicken, he’s going to have to pick a VERY likeable VP candidate, so that people can say, “If McCain dies in office, do I want ________ running the nation.”

Finally, I’d just like to say that although McCain isn’t on my list of favorites, I’d vote for him before any pro-choice anti-war Democrat.

Back in September I said that McCain was dead, but “Mac is back.”  But I’ll still hold out for a Super Tuesday miracle.  With that, good night, and good luck.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican

P.S., for a good laugh, see the comments here: http://inkslwc.wordpress.com/2008/01/29/florida-primary-results-as-of-915-pm-mccain-wins/ and http://inkslwc.wordpress.com/2008/01/29/florida-primary-results-as-of-800-pm-called-for-hillary/.  And let me assure you that I’ve been called much worse than a “sack of shit waste of my air.”
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Florida Primary Results as of 9:15 P.M.: McCain Wins

January 29, 2008

Here are the results as of 9:15 P.M.  The media outlets have called the election for McCain:

The Republicans with 62% of the precincts reporting:

  1. McCain 502,055 36%
  2. Romney 442,039 32%
  3. Giuliani 212,463 15%
  4. Huckabee 185,602 13%
  5. Paul 44,473 3%
  6. Thompson 17,349 1%
  7. Hunter 2,089 0%

And the Democrats with 58% of the precincts reporting:

  1. Clinton 586,172 51%
  2. Obama 360,370 31%
  3. Edwards 173,732 15%
  4. Kucinich 6,750 1%

OK, it’s over.  Giuliani is practically done and will drop out and endorse McCain according to the media.  He’s giving his speech now – it’s pretty funny.

I’ll hope that Romney can pull off a win in California and some Super Tuesday states, but my hope is severely dashed right now.

Maybe I’ll get a snow day tomorrow and that’ll cheer me up a bit.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican

Unfortuantely I can’t be sure that that snow day is coming, so I have to go read Dracula.  I’ll post in an hour or so.
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Florida Primary Results as of 8:30 P.M.

January 29, 2008

Here are the results as of  8:30 P.M.:

The  Republicans with 37% of the precincts reporting:

  1. McCain 345,899 34%
  2. Romney 324,618 32%
  3. Giuliani 156,649 16%
  4. Huckabee 136,425 14%
  5. Paul 31,225 3%
  6. Thompson 14,330 1%
  7.  Hunter 1,534 0%

And here are the results for the Democrats with 37% also reporting:

  1. Clinton 417,678 49%
  2. Obama 253,208 30%
  3. Edwards 129,934 15%
  4. Kucinich 7,124 1%

Done Ranting,

Ranting Republican
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Florida Primary Results as of 8:00 P.M.: Called for Hillary

January 29, 2008

Here are the results as of 8:00 P.M.  Now all polling locations have closed:

The Republicans with 20% reporting:

  1. McCain 202,385 34%
  2. Romney 182,222 31%
  3. Giuliani 98,980 17%
  4. Huckabee 78,351 13%
  5. Paul 19,041 3%
  6. Thompson 9,119 2%
  7.  Hunter 992 0%

It’s still a VERY tight race.  Come on Mitt!  My bias is purely coming out at this point.  Like Michigan, this is Mitt’s last stand.  If he loses here, it’ll be a miracle for him to be able to come back!

Romney's Last Stand

And the Democrats with 22% reporting:

  1. Clinton 271,492 49%
  2. Obama 164,025 29%
  3. Edwards 79,328 14%
  4. Kucinich 5,285 1%

Clinton now under 50%, but she is CLEARLY the winner.  The Republicans are still too close to call.  I’m off to a meeting, but I’ll try to post at 8:30, if not, by 9:15.

Done Reporting (and Praying),

Ranting Republican

EDIT: I forgot to say that the media called it for Clinton officially, and an update, it’s now 34% McCain, 33% Romney.  It’s VERY close!
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Florida Primary Results as of 7:45 P.M.

January 29, 2008

OK, I’ve been in a meeting, and I’m off to another, but here’s what we have so far:

For the Republicans as of 7:48 with 12% reporting:

  1. McCain 142,768 34%
  2. Romney 129,063 31%
  3. Giuliani 74,310 18%
  4. Huckabee 52,779 12%
  5. Paul 12,715 3%
  6. Thompson 7,238 2%
  7. Hunter 711 0%

And the Democrats with 12% reporting:

  1. Clinton 156,374 52%
  2. Obama 86,688 29%
  3. Edwards 47,330 16%
  4. Kucinich 1,969 1%

As of now, obviously I’ll call it for Clinton.  For the Republicans and looking at the exit polls, it’s just too close to call.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Prediction for Florida Primaries: Romney and Clinton Win

January 29, 2008

OK, here’s what the results for the Florida Republican primary should be according to my formula (3 more Republican polls came out over night, so the numbers in italics reflect those polls.  My prediction, however, will stay the same):

  1. McCain 34.873% 34.987%
  2. Romney 33.104% 34.717%
  3. Giuliani 13.926% 13.048%
  4. Huckabee 12.556% 12.598%
  5. Other 5.143% 4.789%

Margin of Error: 3.220% 3.268%

My prediction is:

  1. Romney: 34.5%
  2. McCain: 34%
  3. Giuliani: 14%
  4. Huckabee: 13.5%
  5. Paul: 4%

And here’s what the results for the Florida Democratic primary should be accordign to my formula:

  1. Clinton 52.851%
  2. Obama 29.883%
  3. Edwards 14.637%
  4. Other 2.575%

Margin of Error: 4.599%

My prediction:

  1. Clinton 52%
  2. Obama 30%
  3. Edwards 15%
  4. Other 3%

Both primaries are closed primaries, so I think that will help both Romney and Clinton.

Most polling locations open at 7:00 A.M. EST and close at 7:00 P.M. EST (some are in Central time and are an hour behind).

Unfortunately, I have meetings until about 9 tomorrow, so I may not be able to have a post up until then, but I’ll try my hardest.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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Final Results from the South Carolina Democratic Primary

January 27, 2008

OK, all of the numbers are in, so here’s the final count from the South Carolina Democratic Primary:

Date State Candidate Votes % Delegates Superdelegates Total Delegates Delegate Count
26-Jan South Carolina Obama 295,214 55.44% 25 1 26 152
  Edwards 93,576 17.57% 8 0 8 61
  Clinton 141,217 26.52% 12 2 14 230
  Richardson 727 0.14% 0 0 0 0
  Dodd 247 0.05% 0 0 0 0
  Biden 694 0.13% 0 0 0 0
  Uncommitted 0.00% 0 0 0 0
  Kucinich 552 0.10% 0 0 0 0
    Gravel 241 0.05% 0 0 0 0

A couple of changes to the delegate count: Obama received a pledge from South Carolina; Clinton received 3 from Arizona, 2 from California, and 1 from Colorado.  Edwards lost one in Massachusetts (unless it was my error in awarding him one before) and gained 1 in Missouri.  Obama received 1 in New Mexico and Virginia, while Kucinich lost his only delegate which was in Ohio (since he dropped out).  Clinton gained 1 in Texas and Obama 1 in Mississippi.  Both Edwards and Clinton received a delegate from Pennsylvania, and Clinton received 1 from Kentucky and Puerto Rico.

Here’s a chart of the delegates:

Democratic Delegate Count as of 1-27-08

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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South Carolina Democratic Primary Results as of 9:00 P.M.

January 26, 2008

Here are the results with 95% of the precincts reporting as of 9:00 P.M.:

  1. Obama 277,123 55%
  2. Clinton 133,058 27%
  3. Edwards 89,569 18%
  4. Kucinich 521 0%

Well, this was a great day for Obama.  I find it ironic that I can’t even get live numbers for Gravel (although I will have them in my final update tomorrow).

This is my last update for South Carolina tonight, so good night, and good luck.

Done Reporting,

Ranting Republican
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